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The method of simulated quantiles

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  • Dominicy, Yves
  • Veredas, David

Abstract

We introduce the Method of Simulated Quantiles, or MSQ, an indirect inference method based on quantile matching that is useful for situations where the density function does not have a closed form and/or moments do not exist. Functions of theoretical quantiles, which depend on the parameters of the assumed probability law, are matched with the sample counterparts, which depend on the observations. Since the theoretical quantiles may not be available analytically, the optimization is based on simulations. We illustrate the method with the estimation of α-stable distributions. A thorough Monte Carlo study and an illustration to 22 financial indexes show the usefulness of MSQ.

Suggested Citation

  • Dominicy, Yves & Veredas, David, 2013. "The method of simulated quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 235-247.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:172:y:2013:i:2:p:235-247 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.08.010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tsionas, Mike, 2012. "Simple techniques for likelihood analysis of univariate and multivariate stable distributions: with extensions to multivariate stochastic volatility and dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 40966, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Aug 2012.
    2. Christophe Ley & Anouk Neven, 2013. "Simple Le Cam Optimal Inference for the Tail Weight of Multivariate Student t Distributions: Testing Procedures and Estimation," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-26, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Mohammad Mohammadi & Adel Mohammadpour & Hiroaki Ogata, 2015. "On estimating the tail index and the spectral measure of multivariate $$\alpha $$ α -stable distributions," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 78(5), pages 549-561, July.
    4. Sgouropoulos, Nikolaos & Yao, Qiwei & Yastremiz, Claudia, 2015. "Matching a distribution by matching quantiles estimation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57221, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013. "Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution," Discussion Papers in Economics 13/06, Department of Economics, University of Leicester.
    6. Adam Misiorek & Rafal Weron, 2010. "Heavy-tailed distributions in VaR calculations," HSC Research Reports HSC/10/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    7. Szymon Borak & Adam Misiorek & Rafał Weron, 2010. "Models for Heavy-tailed Asset Returns," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2010-049, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    8. Ogata, Hiroaki, 2013. "Estimation for multivariate stable distributions with generalized empirical likelihood," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 248-254.
    9. Matteo Barigozzi & Roxana Halbleib & David Veredas, "undated". "Which model to match?," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/136240, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    10. Yves Dominicy & Hiroaki Ogata & David Veredas, 2013. "Inference for vast dimensional elliptical distributions," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 1853-1880, August.
    11. Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013. "Too many skew normal distributions? The practitioner’s perspective," Discussion Papers in Economics 13/07, Department of Economics, University of Leicester.
    12. Svetlana Makarova, 2016. "ECB footprints on inflation forecast uncertainty," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2016-5, Bank of Estonia, revised 19 Jul 2016.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quantiles; Simulation; Matching; Inference;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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