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Indirect estimation of alpha-stable distributions and processes

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Abstract

The alpha-stable family of distributions constitutes a generalization of the Gaussian distribution, allowing for asymmetry and thicker tails. Its practical usefulness is coupled with a marked theoretical appeal, as it stems from a generalized version of the central limit theorem in which the assumption of the finiteness of the variance is replaced by a less restrictive assumption concerning a somehow regular behavior of the tails. Estimation difficulties have however hindered its diffusion among practitioners. Since simulated values from alpha-stable distributions can be straightforwardly obtained, the indirect inference approach could prove useful to overcome these estimation difficulties. In this paper we provide a description of how to implement such a method by using a skew-t distribution as an auxiliary model. The indirect inference approach will be introduced in the setting of the estimation of the distribution parameters and then extended to linear time series models with alpha-stable disturbances. The performance of this estimation method is then assessed on simulated data. An application on time-series models for the inflation rate concludes the paper.

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  • Marco J. Lombardi & Giorgio Calzolari, 2004. "Indirect estimation of alpha-stable distributions and processes," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2004_07, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
    • Handle: RePEc:fir:econom:wp2004_07
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    1. Lombardi, Marco J., 2007. "Bayesian inference for [alpha]-stable distributions: A random walk MCMC approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 2688-2700, February.
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    9. Giorgio Calzolari & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2004. "Constrained Indirect Estimation," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 71(4), pages 945-973.
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    1. Lombardi, Marco J. & Calzolari, Giorgio, 2009. "Indirect estimation of [alpha]-stable stochastic volatility models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2298-2308, April.
    2. Marco Bee, 2018. "Estimating the wrapped stable distribution via indirect inference," DEM Working Papers 2018/11, Department of Economics and Management.
    3. Greg Hannsgen, 2011. "Infinite-variance, Alpha-stable Shocks in Monetary SVAR: Final Working Paper Version," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_682, Levy Economics Institute.
    4. Sampaio, Jhames M. & Morettin, Pedro A., 2020. "Stable Randomized Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 67-83.
    5. Calzolari, Giorgio & Halbleib, Roxana & Parrini, Alessandro, 2014. "Estimating GARCH-type models with symmetric stable innovations: Indirect inference versus maximum likelihood," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 158-171.
    6. Lombardi, Marco J. & Veredas, David, 2009. "Indirect estimation of elliptical stable distributions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2309-2324, April.
    7. Lambert, Philippe & Laurent, Sébastien & Veredas, David, 2012. "Testing conditional asymmetry: A residual-based approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1229-1247.
    8. Calzolari, Giorgio & Halbleib, Roxana, 2018. "Estimating stable latent factor models by indirect inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 280-301.
    9. Garcia, René & Renault, Eric & Veredas, David, 2011. "Estimation of stable distributions by indirect inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 325-337, April.
    10. Parrini, Alessandro, 2012. "Indirect estimation of GARCH models with alpha-stable innovations," MPRA Paper 38544, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Dominicy, Yves & Veredas, David, 2013. "The method of simulated quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 235-247.

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    Keywords

    Indirect inference; Alpha-stable distributions; Heavy tails.;
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