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Indirect Estimation of Conditionally Heteroskedastic Factor Models

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  • Enrique Sentana
  • Giorgio Calzolari
  • Gabriele Fiorentini

Abstract

We derive indirect estimators of multivariate conditionally heteroskedastic factor models in which the volatilities of the latent factors depend on their past values. Specifically, we calibrate the analytical score of a Kalman-filter approximation, taking into account the inequality constraints on the auxiliary model parameters. We also study the determinants of the biases in the parameters of this approximation, and its quality. Moreover, we propose sequential indirect estimators that can handle models with large cross-sectional dimensions. Finally, we analyse the small sample behaviour of our indirect estimators and the approximate maximum likelihood procedures through an extensive Monte Carlo experiment.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrique Sentana & Giorgio Calzolari & Gabriele Fiorentini, 2004. "Indirect Estimation of Conditionally Heteroskedastic Factor Models," Working Papers wp2004_0409, CEMFI.
  • Handle: RePEc:cmf:wpaper:wp2004_0409
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    3. Sentana, Enrique & Calzolari, Giorgio & Fiorentini, Gabriele, 2008. "Indirect estimation of large conditionally heteroskedastic factor models, with an application to the Dow 30 stocks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 10-25, September.
    4. Giorgio Calzolari & F. Di Iorio & G. Fiorentini, 1999. "Indirect Estimation of Just-Identified Models with Control Variates," Econometrics Working Papers Archive quaderno46, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
    5. Prosper Dovonon, 2013. "Conditionally Heteroskedastic Factor Models With Skewness And Leverage Effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 1110-1137, November.
    6. Javier Díaz-Giménez & Josep Pijoan-Mas, 2006. "Flat Tax Reforms in the U.S.: A Boon for the Income Poor," Working Papers wp2006_0611, CEMFI.
    7. Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Likelihood-Based Estimation of Latent Generalized ARCH Structures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(5), pages 1481-1517, September.
    8. Suarez, Javier & Ceron, Jose A., 2006. "Hot and Cold Housing Markets: International Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 5411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Broto, Carmen & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2006. "Using auxiliary residuals to detect conditional heteroscedasticity in inflation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws060402, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    10. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2004. "Estimation methods for stochastic volatility models: a survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(5), pages 613-649, December.
    11. Broto, Carmen & Ruiz, Esther, 2006. "Unobserved component models with asymmetric conditional variances," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2146-2166, May.
    12. Aleix Calveras & Juan-José Ganuza & Gerard Llobet, 2005. "Regulation and Opportunism: How Much Activism Do We Need?," Working Papers wp2005_0508, CEMFI.

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