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Politics, instability, and composition of international investment flows

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  • Durnev, Art
  • Enikolopov, Ruben
  • Petrova, Maria
  • Santarosa, Veronica

Abstract

We analyze the role of political instability for the composition of foreign investment, whether it takes the form of a majority- or minority-owned investment. We focus on the instability generated by the change of the party in power rather than on the risk of change of political regime or expropriation risk associated with this change. In majority-owned establishments, a foreign investor retains the control and enjoys fewer agency problems, while for minority-owned investments or joint ventures domestic partners of a foreign investor can lobby the government for preferential arrangements, such as firm-specific tax breaks. Political instability decreases the payoff of political connections in the future and decreases the attractiveness of minority-owned investments. The implications of our model are supported by empirical tests.

Suggested Citation

  • Durnev, Art & Enikolopov, Ruben & Petrova, Maria & Santarosa, Veronica, 2015. "Politics, instability, and composition of international investment flows," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 299-324.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:30:y:2015:i:c:p:299-324
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2014.12.013
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    3. Burcin Col & Art Durnev & Alexander Molchanov, 2018. "Foreign Risk, Domestic Problem: Capital Allocation and Firm Performance Under Political Instability," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 2102-2125, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political instability; Agency problems; Investment flows;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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