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Coping with climate change in agriculture: Evidence from Hamadan-Bahar plain in Iran

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  • Mosavi, Seyed Habibollah
  • Soltani, Shiva
  • Khalilian, Sadegh

Abstract

The present study evaluated the potential impacts of climate change of Hamadan-Bahar plain on dimensions including economical, physiological, hydrological and meteorological aspects. The results showed that climate change in the region has negative impacts on the agricultural sector by reducing the crop yield as well as groundwater balance. In the most optimistic scenario on the horizon of 2090, rainfall and groundwater levels would reduce by 14.4 and 12.3 %, respectively and the average temperature would rise by 14.7 %. Accordingly, the economic value of water would increase by 44 % and the agricultural value-added (net income) would fall by 19 %, indicating the intensification of water shortage crisis and agricultural recession. Also, the results of this study show that optimal deficit irrigation strategy in the production of water intensive crops as well as improving irrigation technologies would be potential solutions to the climate change crisis in the coming years. However, the common pool nature of groundwater resources in addition to capital inadequacy are the challenges faced when adopting these two approaches by farmers.

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  • Mosavi, Seyed Habibollah & Soltani, Shiva & Khalilian, Sadegh, 2020. "Coping with climate change in agriculture: Evidence from Hamadan-Bahar plain in Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:241:y:2020:i:c:s0378377419314799
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106332
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    1. Soltani, Shiva & Mosavi, Seyed Habibollah & Saghaian, Sayed H. & Azhdari, Somayeh & Alamdarlo, Hamed N. & Khalilian, Sadegh, 2023. "Climate change and energy use efficiency in arid and semiarid agricultural areas: A case study of Hamadan-Bahar plain in Iran," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    2. Behnam Sadeghi & Mahmoud Ahmadpour Borazjani & Mostafa Mardani & Saman Ziaee & Hamid Mohammadi, 2023. "Systemic Management of Water Resources with Environmental and Climate Change Considerations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2543-2574, May.
    3. Samira Shayanmehr & Jana Ivanič Porhajašová & Mária Babošová & Mahmood Sabouhi Sabouni & Hosein Mohammadi & Shida Rastegari Henneberry & Naser Shahnoushi Foroushani, 2022. "The Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources and Crop Production in an Arid Region," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-22, July.
    4. Goli, Imaneh & Azadi, Hossein & Najafabadi, Maryam Omidi & Lashgarara, Farhad & Viira, Ants-Hannes & Kurban, Alishir & Sklenička, Petr & Janečková, Kristina & Witlox, Frank, 2023. "Are adaptation strategies to climate change gender neutral? Lessons learned from paddy farmers in Northern Iran," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Arjomandi, Amin & Mortazavi, Seyed Abolghasem & Khalilian, Sadegh & Garizi, Arash Zare, 2021. "Optimal land-use allocation using MCDM and SWAT for the Hablehroud Watershed, Iran," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    6. Babaeian, Fariba & Delavar, Majid & Morid, Saeed & Srinivasan, Raghavan, 2021. "Robust climate change adaptation pathways in agricultural water management," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).

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