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Flujos de capital, recursos naturales y enfermedad holandesa: el caso colombiano

Author

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  • Thomas Goda

    ()

  • Alejandro Torres García

Abstract

Este trabajo busca aportar evidencia empírica sobre la relación entre flujos de capital, explotación de recursos naturales y desindustrialización, a partir del análisis del caso colombiano. Para ello, se concentra en indagar si el financiamiento externo percibido por el país durante el período de estudio generó un proceso de apreciación adicional de la tasa de cambio real fortaleciendo un posible fenómeno de «enfermedad holandesa» originado en el aumento de los precios de los commodities. Los resultados muestran que la entrada de capitales, sobre todo la entrada de inversión extranjera directa al sector minero-energético, efectivamente ocasionaron una apreciación de la tasa de cambio que afectó negativamente el desempeño de los sectores transables en general y de la manufactura en particular. Esto demuestra que no solo la explotación de los recursos naturales sino, además, la forma en que esta se financie influyen en el comportamiento de la industria en las economías de los países en desarrollo.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Goda & Alejandro Torres García, 2015. "Flujos de capital, recursos naturales y enfermedad holandesa: el caso colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República - ESPE, vol. 33(78), pages 197-206, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:014127
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Ballesteros, 2016. "Mining and Energy Boom, Dutch Disease and Informality in Colombia: a DSGE Approach," Documentos de Trabajo CIEF 015011, Universidad EAFIT.
    2. Alejandro Torres García & Thomas Goda & Santiago Sanchez Gonzalez & Adriana Romero Villanueva, 2017. "Efectos diferenciales de la tasa de cambio real sobre el comercio internacional en Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo CIEF 015662, Universidad EAFIT.
    3. Martha López, 2016. "Fiscal Multipliers, Oil Revenues and Balance Sheet Effects," Borradores de Economia 976, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Enfermedad holandesa; Tasa de cambio real; Flujos de capital; Desindustrialización; Modelos ARDL; Colombia;

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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