IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bdr/ensayo/v33y2015i78p197-206.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Flujos de capital, recursos naturales y enfermedad holandesa: el caso colombiano

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas Goda
  • Alejandro Torres García

Abstract

Este trabajo busca aportar evidencia empírica sobre la relación entre flujos de capital, explotación de recursos naturales y desindustrialización, a partir del análisis del caso colombiano. Para ello, se concentra en indagar si el financiamiento externo percibido por el país durante el período de estudio generó un proceso de apreciación adicional de la tasa de cambio real fortaleciendo un posible fenómeno de «enfermedad holandesa» originado en el aumento de los precios de los commodities. Los resultados muestran que la entrada de capitales, sobre todo la entrada de inversión extranjera directa al sector minero-energético, efectivamente ocasionaron una apreciación de la tasa de cambio que afectó negativamente el desempeño de los sectores transables en general y de la manufactura en particular. Esto demuestra que no solo la explotación de los recursos naturales sino, además, la forma en que esta se financie influyen en el comportamiento de la industria en las economías de los países en desarrollo.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Goda & Alejandro Torres García, 2015. "Flujos de capital, recursos naturales y enfermedad holandesa: el caso colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 33(78), pages 197-206, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:ensayo:v:33:y:2015:i:78:p:197-206
    DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2015.07.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.espe.2015.07.001
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.espe.2015.07.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carolina Arteaga & Joan Granados & Jair Ojeda, 2013. "El comportamiento del tipo de cambio real en Colombia: ¿explicado por sus fundamentales?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(72), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Prebisch, Raúl, 1950. "The economic development of Latin America and its principal problems," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 29973, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    3. Juan José Echavarría Soto & Enrique López Enciso & Martha Misas Arango, 2008. "La tasa de cambio real de equilibrio en Colombia y su desalineamiento: estimación a través de un modelo SVEC," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 26(57), pages 282-319, December.
    4. Emmanuel K. K. Lartey & Federico S. Mandelman & Pablo A. Acosta, 2012. "Remittances, Exchange Rate Regimes and the Dutch Disease: A Panel Data Analysis," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 377-395, May.
    5. Ojeda-Joya, Jair N. & Parra-Polanía, Julián Andrés & Vargas-Riaño, Carmiña Ofelia, 2013. "Auge minero-energético en Colombia : efectos macroeconómicos y respuestas de política fiscal," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 14, pages 565-599, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Pesaran, M.H. & Shin, Y., 1995. "An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9514, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    7. Rajan, Raghuram G. & Subramanian, Arvind, 2011. "Aid, Dutch disease, and manufacturing growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 106-118, January.
    8. Corden, W M, 1984. "Booming Sector and Dutch Disease Economics: Survey and Consolidation," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 36(3), pages 359-380, November.
    9. Alberto Botta & Antoine Godin & Marco Missaglia, 2016. "Finance, foreign (direct) investment and dutch disease: the case of Colombia," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 33(2), pages 265-289, August.
    10. Szirmai, Adam & Naude, Wim & Alcorta, Ludovico (ed.), 2013. "Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century: New Challenges and Emerging Paradigms," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199667857.
    11. Alberto Botta, 2014. "The macroeconomics of a financial Dutch disease," Working Papers PKWP1410, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    12. Bayangos, Veronica & Jansen, Karel, 2011. "Remittances and Competitiveness: The Case of the Philippines," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 1834-1846.
    13. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    14. Juan Esteban Carranza & Stefany Moreno, 2013. "Tamaño y estructura vertical de la cadena de producción industrial colombiana desde 1990," Borradores de Economia 10416, Banco de la Republica.
    15. Dani Rodrik, 2008. "The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 39(2 (Fall)), pages 365-439.
    16. Alvaro Aguirre & César Calderón, 2005. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignments and Economic Performance," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 316, Central Bank of Chile.
    17. David Fielding & Fred Gibson, 2013. "Aid and Dutch Disease in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 22(1), pages 1-21, January.
    18. William F. Maloney & Daniel Lederman, 2008. "In search of the Missing Resource Curse," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2008), pages 1-57, August.
    19. Emmanuel K. K. Lartey, 2011. "Financial Openness and the Dutch Disease," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 556-568, August.
    20. Prema‐Chandra Athukorala & Sarath Rajapatirana, 2003. "Capital Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate: A Comparative Study of Asia and Latin America," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 613-637, April.
    21. Roberto Frenkel & Martin Rapetti, 2012. "External Fragility or Deindustrialization: What is the Main Threat to Latin American Countries in the 2010s?," World Economic Review, World Economics Association, vol. 2012(1), pages 1-37, September.
    22. Christian Saborowski, 2011. "Can financial development cure the Dutch disease?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 218-236, July.
    23. Emmanuel K. K. Lartey, 2008. "Capital Inflows, Dutch Disease Effects, and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(5), pages 971-989, November.
    24. Ben Naceur, Sami & Bakardzhieva, Damyana & Kamar, Bassem, 2012. "Disaggregated Capital Flows and Developing Countries’ Competitiveness," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 223-237.
    25. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    26. Gylfason, Thorvaldur, 2001. "Natural resources, education, and economic development," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(4-6), pages 847-859, May.
    27. López, Enrique & Montes, Enrique & Garavito-Acosta, Aarón Levi & Collazos-Gaitán, María Mercedes, 2013. "La economía petrolera en Colombia," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 9, pages 337-406, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    28. Aaron Garavito & David Camilo López & Enrique Montes, 2011. "Aproximación a los índices de valor unitario y quantum del comercio exterior colombiano," Borradores de Economia 680, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    29. Martín Arias & Miguel Atienza & Jan Cademartori, 2014. "Large mining enterprises and regional development in Chile: between the enclave and cluster," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 73-95, January.
    30. Mr. Juan P Trevino, 2011. "Oil-Price Boom and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation: Is there Dutch Disease in the Cemac?," IMF Working Papers 2011/268, International Monetary Fund.
    31. Bresser Pereira,Luiz Carlos, 2010. "Globalization and Competition," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521144537, October.
    32. Garavito-Acosta, Aarón Levi & Iregui-Bohórquez, Ana María & Ramírez-Giraldo, María Teresa, 2013. "Inversión extranjera directa en Colombia : evolución, indicadores y determinantes por firma," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 3, pages 83-136, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    33. repec:wea:worler:v:2012:y:2012:i:1:p:3 is not listed on IDEAS
    34. Yves Bourdet & Hans Falck, 2006. "Emigrants' remittances and Dutch Disease in Cape Verde," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 267-284.
    35. Carlos Gustavo Cano, 2010. "Regla fiscal y estabilidad macroeconómica en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 7070, Banco de la Republica.
    36. Robin C. Sickles & William C. Horrace (ed.), 2014. "Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt," Springer Books, Springer, edition 127, number 978-1-4899-8008-3, February.
    37. Emmanuel K. K. Lartey, 2008. "Capital Inflows, Resource Reallocation and the Real Exchange Rate," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(2), pages 131-152, August.
    38. Corden, W Max & Neary, J Peter, 1982. "Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(368), pages 825-848, December.
    39. Ibarra, Carlos A., 2011. "Capital Flows and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Mexico," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(12), pages 2080-2090.
    40. Sachs, Jeffrey D. & Warner, Andrew M., 2001. "The curse of natural resources," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(4-6), pages 827-838, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alejandro Torres García & Thomas Goda & Santiago Sanchez Gonzalez & Adriana Romero Villanueva, 2017. "Efectos diferenciales de la tasa de cambio real sobre el comercio internacional en Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 15662, Universidad EAFIT.
    2. Thomas Goda & Santiago Sánchez González, 2024. "Export Market Size Matters: The Effect of the Market Size of Export Destinations on Manufacturing Growth," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 21-44, January.
    3. Thomas Goda & Jan Priewe, 2020. "Determinants of real exchange rate movements in 15 emerging market economies," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 40(2), pages 214-237.
    4. Wilson Quijano & Diego Alejandro Guevara-Castañeda, 2021. "Desindustrialización: evidencias desde una mirada kaldoriana para Colombia (2005-2017)," Ensayos de Economía 19342, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.
    5. Martha López, 2016. "Fiscal Multipliers, Oil Revenues and Balance Sheet Effects," Borradores de Economia 976, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Johnny Humberto Vargas-Restrepo & Juan Pablo Saldarriaga Muñoz, 2020. "Las exportaciones de hidrocarburos y el crecimiento económico en Colombia 1960-2016: un análisis según la hipótesis de la enfermedad holandesa," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 39(70), pages 167-182, July.
    7. William Niebles-Nunez & Leonardo Niebles-Nunez & Lorena Hoyos Babilonia, 2022. "Energy Financing in Colombia: A Bibliometric Review," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 459-466, March.
    8. Martha López Pineros, 2020. "Fiscal Multipliers and Balance Sheet Effects in a Small Open Economy," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, vol. 23(2), pages 1-42, December.
    9. Melisa Pacheco Flórez & Adrián Saldarriaga Isaza, 2019. "Recursos no renovables, diversificación y actividad económica en los departamentos de Colombia," Ensayos de Economía 17538, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.
    10. Gustavo Svarzman, 2021. "Buenos Vientos Comerciales Para América Latina (Pero No Para Todos)," Documentos de trabajo del Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET) 2021-61, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET).
    11. Carlos Ballesteros, 2016. "Mining and Energy Boom, Dutch Disease and Informality in Colombia: a DSGE Approach," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 15011, Universidad EAFIT.
    12. José Redondo Ochoa, 2021. "Boom minero-energético e aprofundamento da dependencia na Colombia: a insercao em um modelo exportador de especializacao produtiva pós-1990," Revista de Economía del Caribe 20284, Universidad del Norte.
    13. Sergio Peláez, 2018. "Ciclo de recursos naturales y política fiscal bajo preferencias inconsistentes," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 48(1-2), pages 13-78, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Thomas Goda & Alejandro Torres, 2013. "Overvaluation of the real exchange rate and the Dutch Disease: the Colombian case," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10930, Universidad EAFIT.
    2. Thomas Goda & Alejandro Torres, 2013. "Tasa de cambio real y recomposición sectorial en Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10936, Universidad EAFIT.
    3. Muntasir Murshed & Seemran Rashid, 2020. "An Empirical Investigation of Real Exchange Rate Responses to Foreign Currency Inflows: Revisiting the Dutch Disease Phenomenon in South Asia," The Economics and Finance Letters, Conscientia Beam, vol. 7(1), pages 23-46.
    4. João Sousa Andrade & António Portugal Duarte, 2013. "The Dutch Disease in the Portuguese Economy," GEMF Working Papers 2013-05, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    5. Nuno Baetas da Silva & João Sousa Andrade & António Portugal Duarte, 2016. "Alternative Sources of Dutch Disease: A Survey of the Literature," GEMF Working Papers 2016-10, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    6. Ben-Salha, Ousama & Dachraoui, Hajer & Sebri, Maamar, 2021. "Natural resource rents and economic growth in the top resource-abundant countries: A PMG estimation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Hao, Linna & Ahmad, Shabbir & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Knowledge spill-over and institutional quality role in controlling Dutch disease: A case of BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Boire, Sidiki & Nell, Kevin S., 2021. "The enclave hypothesis and Dutch disease effect: A critical appraisal of Mali's gold mining industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Alberto Botta, 2014. "The macroeconomics of a financial Dutch disease," Working Papers PKWP1410, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    10. Combes, Jean-Louis & Kinda, Tidiane & Ouedraogo, Rasmané & Plane, Patrick, 2019. "Financial flows and economic growth in developing countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 195-209.
    11. Nuno Baetas da Silva & João Sousa Andrade & António Portugal Duarte, 2016. "Alternative Sources of Dutch Disease: A Survey of the Literature," GEMF Working Papers 2016-10, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    12. Manrique L., Karina & Sierra, Lya Paola, 2014. "A first approach to the impact of the real exchange rate on industrial sectors in Colombia," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    13. Edouard Mien & Michaël Goujon, 2022. "40 Years of Dutch Disease Literature: Lessons for Developing Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 64(3), pages 351-383, September.
    14. Gasmi, Farid & Laourari, Imène, 2017. "Has Algeria suffered from the dutch disease?: Evidence from 1960–2013 data," TSE Working Papers 17-780, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    15. Ruba Abdullah Aljarallah, 2020. "The Economic Impacts of Natural Resource Dependency in Gulf Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 36-52.
    16. Hiroyuki Taguchi, 2017. "Analysis of 'Dutch Disease Effects' on Asian Economies," Chapters, in: Musa Jega Ibrahim (ed.), Emerging Issues in Economics and Development, IntechOpen.
    17. Cai, Chunlin & Li, Ning, 2023. "The threshold effect of export sophistication on natural resources-trade diversification nexus," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    18. Basil Oberholzer, 2021. "Managing commodity booms: Dutch disease and economic performance," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(299), pages 307-323.
    19. Gerelmaa, Lkhagva & Kotani, Koji, 2016. "Further investigation of natural resources and economic growth: Do natural resources depress economic growth?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 312-321.
    20. Ramez Abubakr Badeeb & Jeremy Clark & Abey P. Philip, 2021. "The Nonlinear Effects of Oil Rent Dependence on Malaysian Manufacturing: Implications from Structural Change using a Markov-Regime Switching Model," Working Papers in Economics 21/11, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Enfermedad holandesa; Tasa de cambio real; Flujos de capital; Desindustrialización; Modelos ARDL; Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:ensayo:v:33:y:2015:i:78:p:197-206. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Clorith Angélica Bahos Olivera (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/brcgvco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.