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Should Tariff Reductions be Announced? An Intertemporal Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

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  • MICHAEL MALAKELLIS

Abstract

In this paper the macro and structural implications of three alternative tariff‐reduction strategies are examined. Under the first strategy, which is similar to that adopted in Australia in 1973, the tariff cut is implemented without warning. The second strategy is consistent with the current approach of phasing in tariff cuts according to a previously announced schedule. Under the third strategy the tariff cut is implemented several years after it is announced. Our results suggest that if tariffs are to be reduced then it is preferable to implement the policy without warning.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Malakellis, 1998. "Should Tariff Reductions be Announced? An Intertemporal Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 74(225), pages 121-138, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:74:y:1998:i:225:p:121-138
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1998.tb01910.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Powell, Alan A. & Snape, Richard H., 1993. "The contribution of applied general equilibrium analysis to policy reform in Australia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 393-414, August.
    2. R. G. Gregory, 1976. "The Green Paper on Policies for Manufacturing Industry: A Review," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 1(2), pages 51-78, October.
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    4. Robert E. Lucas & Jr., 1967. "Adjustment Costs and the Theory of Supply," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(4), pages 321-321.
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    2. Narayanan, Badri G. & Hertel, Thomas W. & Horridge, J. Mark, 2010. "Disaggregated data and trade policy analysis: The value of linking partial and general equilibrium models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 755-766, May.
    3. Bent, Peter H., 2020. "Recovery from financial crises in peripheral economies, 1870–1913," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
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    5. Robert M´barek & Ivelin Iliev Rizov, 2013. "European Coexistence Bureau. Best Practice Documents for coexistence of genetically modified crops with conventional and organic farming. 3. Coexistence of genetically modified maize and honey product," JRC Research Reports JRC84850, Joint Research Centre.
    6. Van Ha, Pham & Kompas, Tom, 2016. "Solving intertemporal CGE models in parallel using a singly bordered block diagonal ordering technique," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 3-12.
    7. Narayanan, Badri & Thomas Hertel & Mark Horridge, 2010. "Linking Partial and General Equilibrium Models: A GTAP Application Using TASTE," GTAP Technical Papers 3192, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    8. Elshennawy, Abeer, 2025. "Anticipated trade policy: New insights from an intertemporal general equilibrium model for Egypt," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    9. Dixon, Peter B. & Pearson, K.R. & Picton, Mark R. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2005. "Rational expectations for large CGE models: A practical algorithm and a policy application," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 1001-1019, December.
    10. Peter B. Dixon & K.R. Pearson & Mark R. Picton & Maureen T. Rimmer, 2002. "Rational Expectations for Large Models: A Practical Algorithm and a Policy Application," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers ip-81, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.

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