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Should Tariff Reductions be Announced? An Intertemporal Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

  • Michael Malakellis
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    In this paper the macro and structural implications of three alternative tariff-reduction strategies are examined. Under the first strategy, which is similar to that adopted in Australia in 1973, the tariff cut is implemented without warning. The second strategy is consistent with the current approach of phasing in tariff cuts according to a previously announced schedule. Under the third strategy the tariff cut is implemented several years after it is announced. We find that the long-run effects of the alternative tariff reduction strategies are similar, but that the adjustment paths are not. Our results suggest that if tariffs are to be reduced then it is preferable to implement the policy without warning. The results emphasise the point that the sooner tariffs are reduced the sooner will the allocative efficiency gains from doing so be realised.

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    File URL: http://www.copsmodels.com/ftp/workpapr/op-88.pdf
    File Function: Initial version, 1997-08
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    File URL: http://www.copsmodels.com/elecpapr/op-88.htm
    File Function: Local abstract: may link to additional material.
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    Paper provided by Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre in its series Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers with number op-88.

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    Date of creation: Aug 1997
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    Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:op-88
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    1. Alan A. Powell & Richard H. Snape, 1992. "The Contribution of Applied General Equilibrium Analysis to Policy Reform in Australia," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-98, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    2. Lluch, Constantino, 1973. "The extended linear expenditure system," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 21-32, April.
    3. R. G. Gregory, 1976. "The Green Paper on Policies for Manufacturing Industry: A Review," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 1(2), pages 51-78, October.
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