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U.S. Commercial Bank Lending Through 2008:Q4: New Evidence From Gross Credit Flows

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  • SILVIO CONTESSI
  • JOHANNA L. FRANCIS

Abstract

What was hiding behind the aggregate commercial bank loans through the end of 2008? We use balance sheet data for every insured U.S. commercial bank from 1999:Q1 to 2008:Q4 to construct credit expansion and credit contraction series and provide new evidence on changes in lending. Until 2008:Q3 net credit growth was not dissimilar to the 1980 and 2001 recessions. However, between the third and fourth quarter credit contraction grew larger than credit expansion across all types of loans and for the largest banks. With the inclusion of 2008:Q4 data our series most resemble the intensification of the Savings and Loan crisis.
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Suggested Citation

  • Silvio Contessi & Johanna L. Francis, 2013. "U.S. Commercial Bank Lending Through 2008:Q4: New Evidence From Gross Credit Flows," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 428-444, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecinqu:v:51:y:2013:i:1:p:428-444
    DOI: j.1465-7295.2010.00356.x
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1465-7295.2010.00356.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Pietro Garibaldi, 2005. "Gross Credit Flows," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 72(3), pages 665-685.
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    7. Ricardo J. Caballero & Takeo Hoshi & Anil K. Kashyap, 2008. "Zombie Lending and Depressed Restructuring in Japan," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(5), pages 1943-1977, December.
    8. Richard G. Anderson, 2008. "Paying interest on deposits at Federal Reserve banks," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    9. Ethan Cohen-Cole & Burcu Duygan-Bump & José Fillat & Judit Montoriol-Garriga, 2008. "Looking behind the aggregates: a reply to “Facts and Myths about the Financial Crisis of 2008”," Risk and Policy Analysis Unit Working Paper QAU08-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bank for International Settlements, 2009. "An assessment of financial sector rescue programmes," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 48, November.
    2. Andrea F. Presbitero & Gregory F. Udell & Alberto Zazzaro, 2014. "The Home Bias and the Credit Crunch: A Regional Perspective," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(s1), pages 53-85, February.
    3. Silvio Contessi & Johanna L. Francis, 2011. "TARP beneficiaries and their lending patterns during the financial crisis," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Mar, pages 105-126.
    4. Florian, David & Francis, Johanna L., 2016. "Unemployment and Gross Credit Flows in a New Keynesian Framework," Working Papers 2016-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    5. Silvio Contessi & Li Li & Katheryn N. Russ, 2013. "Bank vs. bond financing over the business cycle," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    6. Giuseppe CICCARONE & Francesco GIULI & Danilo LIBERATI, "undated". "Gross and net loan flows under search and matching frictions in labour and credit markets," EcoMod2010 259600040, EcoMod.
    7. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils, 2009. "Do we face a credit crunch?," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32839, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    8. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils, 2009. "Do we face a credit crunch?," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32979, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    9. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Weltwirtschaft expandiert wieder," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32956, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    10. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils, 2009. "Do we face a credit crunch?," Kiel Policy Brief 15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    11. David Florian Hoyle & Johanna L. Francis, 2016. "Unemployment and Gross Credit Flows in a New Keynesian Framework," Working Papers 2016-87, Peruvian Economic Association.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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