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Weltwirtschaft expandiert wieder

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  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens
  • Gern, Klaus-Jürgen
  • Jannsen, Nils
  • Scheide, Joachim

Abstract

Im Sommer 2009 hat die Weltkonjunktur begonnen, sich zu erholen. Angesichts einer Belebung, die international weitgehend synchron erfolgt, ist sogar ein recht kräftiger Anstieg der Weltproduktion im zweiten Halbjahr zu erwarten. Im nächsten Jahr dürfte die konjunkturelle Dynamik insgesamt jedoch eher mäßig ausfallen. Die Probleme im internationalen Finanzsystem sind noch nicht überwunden, und die Korrektur der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Ungleichgewichte belastet die Konjunktur wohl noch geraume Zeit. Insgesamt rechnen wir damit, dass dem Rückgang der Weltproduktion um 1,2 Prozent in diesem Jahr ein Anstieg um 2,8 Prozent im nächsten Jahr folgt. Damit haben wir unsere Prognose vom Juni für 2009 um 0,3 und für 2010 um 0.5 Prozentpunkte nach oben revidiert.

Suggested Citation

  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Weltwirtschaft expandiert wieder," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32956, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:32956
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Silvio Contessi & Johanna L. Francis, 2013. "U.S. Commercial Bank Lending Through 2008:Q4: New Evidence From Gross Credit Flows," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 428-444, January.
    2. Benner, Joachim & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Kamps, Annette & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim, 2004. "Weltwirtschaft im Aufschwung," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3213, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas, 2009. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2009," Kiel Discussion Papers 461/462, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Weltwirtschaft im Abwärtsstrudel," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28722, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
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    1. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Erholung der Weltwirtschaft verliert an Schwung," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45574, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Boss, Alfred & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Schleppende Erholung der Konjunktur in Deutschland, kein Einbruch auf dem Arbeitsmarkt," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32977, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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