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The transmission of world maize price to South African maize market: a threshold cointegration approach

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  • Babatunde O. Abidoye
  • Marlene Labuschagne

Abstract

This article seeks to provide an explanation for the relationship between domestic maize price in South Africa and world maize prices in order to evaluate comovement and transmission of world prices to domestic prices in sub-Sahara African countries. This is done by comparing nested and nonnested models that capture different forms of nonlinearity in the price spread. Adopting a Bayesian approach that allows for comparison of models using Bayes factor, we found that the relationship between South African price and world price for maize indicates the presence of nonlinearity in price transmission with three regimes that is triggered by the price spread in previous period.

Suggested Citation

  • Babatunde O. Abidoye & Marlene Labuschagne, 2014. "The transmission of world maize price to South African maize market: a threshold cointegration approach," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(4), pages 501-512, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:45:y:2014:i:4:p:501-512
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/agec.12102
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    3. Nzuma, Jonathan Makau & Kirui, Patrick Kipruto, 2021. "Transmission of global wheat prices to domestic markets in Kenya: A cointegration approach," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 16(1), March.
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    5. Ijambo, Bertha Deshimona, 2017. "An econometric analysis of spatial market integration and price formation in the Namibian sheep industry," Research Theses 334744, Collaborative Masters Program in Agricultural and Applied Economics.
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    7. Pierre, G. & Kaminsky, J., 2018. "Cross country maize market linkages in Africa: integration and price transmission across local and global markets," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277126, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Dai, Jiawu & Feng, Yuchen & Wang, Yan & Wang, Xiuqing, 2022. "Agricultural support and spatial price transmission: evidence from China’s maize sector," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 26(2), November.
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