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How Sensitive is Indian Agriculture to Climate Change?

Author

Listed:
  • Birthal, P.S.
  • Negi, Digvijay S.
  • Kumar, Shiv
  • Aggarwal, Shaily
  • Suresh, A.
  • Khan, Md. Tajuddin

Abstract

Using district-level panel data, this paper has assessed sensitivity of Indian agriculture to climate change. Results show that a rise in temperature would reduce agricultural productivity, while rainfall unless it is in excess, will tend to counterbalance harmful effects of temperature. Irrigation is an important adaptation strategy to reduce harmful effects of warmer climate. Predictions suggest that by end of this century, a significant change in climate may reduce productivity of Indian agriculture by 25 per cent. Agriculture in arid and semi-arid regions is more sensitive to climate change, and would be more impacted by climate change. The loss will be higher in the absence of adaptation.

Suggested Citation

  • Birthal, P.S. & Negi, Digvijay S. & Kumar, Shiv & Aggarwal, Shaily & Suresh, A. & Khan, Md. Tajuddin, 2014. "How Sensitive is Indian Agriculture to Climate Change?," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 69(4), pages 1-14.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:inijae:229948
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.229948
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Priyanka Singh & Mini Goyal & Bishwa Bhaskar Choudhary, 2022. "How sustainable is food system in India? mapping evidence from the state of Punjab," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(12), pages 14348-14374, December.
    2. Birthal, Pratap S. & Hazrana, Jaweriah & Negi, Digvijay S. & Bhan, Subhash C., 2021. "Climate change and land-use in Indian agriculture," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    3. Tol, Richard S.J., 2017. "The structure of the climate debate," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 431-438.
    4. Ahmad Firoz & Goparaju Laxmi & Uddin Md Meraj, 2018. "An evaluation of vegetation health and the socioeconomic dimension of the vulnerability of Jharkhand state of India in climate change scenarios and their likely impact: a geospatial approach," Environmental & Socio-economic Studies, Sciendo, vol. 6(4), pages 39-47, December.
    5. Ghanshyam Pandey & Seema Kumari, 2021. "Understanding agricultural growth and performance in Bihar, India," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(10), pages 1-17, October.
    6. Kepa Solaun & Emilio Cerdá, 2017. "The Impact of Climate Change on the Generation of Hydroelectric Power—A Case Study in Southern Spain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-19, September.
    7. Farnaz Pourzand & Ilan Noy & Yigit Saglam, 2019. "Droughts and farms' financial performance in New Zealand: a micro farm-level study," CESifo Working Paper Series 7633, CESifo.
    8. Pourzand, Farnaz & Noy, Ilan & Sağlam, Yiğit, 2019. "Droughts and farms’ financial performance in New Zealand: A micro farm level study," Working Paper Series 8159, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    9. Birthal, Pratap S. & Hazrana, Jaweriah, 2019. "Crop diversification and resilience of agriculture to climatic shocks: Evidence from India," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 345-354.
    10. Birthal, Pratap S. & Negi, Digvijay S. & Khan, Md. Tajuddin & Agarwal, Shaily, 2015. "Is Indian agriculture becoming resilient to droughts? Evidence from rice production systems," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-12.
    11. M. V. Nadkarni, 2022. "Crisis in Indian agriculture: can it be overcome?," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 24(1), pages 228-241, December.

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