The single monetary policy and domestic macro-fundamentals: Evidence from Spain
Abstract
We model pre-euro Spanish monetary policy and use our findings to assess the compatibility of the interest rates set by the ECB since 1999 with Spanish macro-fundamentals. We find that in the 1990s Spain implemented successfully a monetary strategy tailored to its own domestic fundamentals; and by abolishing it to join the euro she has paid a cost in the form of a sub-optimal monetary policy. Our findings suggest that the present turmoil in the market for Spanish government bonds is symptomatic of the risks involved in participating in a monetary union highlighted by the theory of optimum currency areas. We argue in favour of structural reforms increasing Spanish competitiveness, and a cautious approach with respect to the timing of further EMU enlargement.Download Info
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Bibliographic Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Policy Modeling.
Volume (Year): 34 (2012)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 16-34
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505735
Related research
Keywords: Spain; ECB; Monetary policy; Domestic fundamentals; Compatibility;Other versions of this item:
- Michael G. Arghyrou & Maria Dolores Gadea, 2008. "The single monetary policy and domestic macro-fundamentals: Evidence from Spain," Documentos de Trabajo dt2008-05, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Universidad de Zaragoza.
- Arghyrou, Michael G & Gadea, Maria Dolores, 2008. "The single monetary policy and domestic macro-fundamentals: Evidence from Spain," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/23, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
- F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
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Citations
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- Jerger, Jürgen & Röhe, Oke, 2009.
"Testing for Parameter Stability in DSGE Models. The Cases of France, Germany and Spain,"
University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems
453, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics.
- Jürgen Jerger & Oke Röhe, 2009. "Testing for Parameter Stability in DSGE Models. The Cases of France, Germany and Spain," Working Papers 276, Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and South-East European Studies), revised Mar 2011.
- Jerger, Jürgen & Röhe, Oke, 2011. "Testing for Parameter Stability in DSGE Models. The Cases of France, Germany and Spain," University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems 453, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics.
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