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Presidents and the U.S. Economy: An Econometric Exploration

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Easterly,William R. & Pennings,Steven Michael, 2020. "Leader Value Added : Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9215, The World Bank.
  2. Benjamin Marx & Vincent Pons & Vincent Rollet, 2022. "Electoral Turnovers," NBER Working Papers 29766, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Hyeongwoo Kim & Madeline H. Kim, 2021. "U.S. presidential election polls and the economic prospects of China and Mexico," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(54), pages 6231-6248, November.
  4. Beyer, Deborah B. & Fan, Zaifeng S., 2023. "The calming effects of conflict: The impact of partisan conflict on market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  5. Oliver Bachmann & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Ruben Seiberlich, 2021. "Partisan bias in inflation expectations," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 186(3), pages 513-536, March.
  6. Hillard G. Huntington, 2017. "The Historical Roots of U.S. Energy Price Shocks," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
  7. Elisabeth Kempf & Margarita Tsoutsoura, 2021. "Partisan Professionals: Evidence from Credit Rating Analysts," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(6), pages 2805-2856, December.
  8. Andersson, Fredrik N. G. & Kilman, Josefin, 2021. "A Study of the Romer and Romer Monetary Policy Shocks Using Revised Data," Working Papers 2021:19, Lund University, Department of Economics.
  9. Niklas Potrafke, 2017. "Government Ideology and Economic Policy-Making in the United States," CESifo Working Paper Series 6444, CESifo.
  10. Manuel Funke & Moritz Schularick & Christoph Trebesch, 2023. "Populist Leaders and the Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 113(12), pages 3249-3288, December.
  11. Niklas Potrafke, 2018. "Government ideology and economic policy-making in the United States—a survey," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 174(1), pages 145-207, January.
  12. Keita, Sekou & Mandon, Pierre, 2018. "Give a fish or teach fishing? Partisan affiliation of U.S. governors and the poverty status of immigrants," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 65-96.
  13. Claus, Edda & Nguyen, Viet Hoang, 2018. "Consumptor economicus: How do consumers form expectations on economic variables?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 254-275.
  14. Warwick Anderson & Jędrzej Białkowski & Moritz Wagner, 2023. "The midterm election effect on US stock returns: Some practical considerations for investors," Working Papers in Economics 23/05, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
  15. Thiem, Christopher, 2018. "Cross-category spillovers of economic policy uncertainty," Ruhr Economic Papers 744, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  16. Samar Ashour & David A. Rakowski & Salil K. Sarkar, 2019. "U.S. presidential cycles and the foreign exchange market," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 523-540, October.
  17. Jiang, Meihua & Huang, Yuzhe, 2023. "Is forward guidance an effective policy: A time-varying analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
  18. Nguyen, Hung T. & Pham, Mia Hang, 2021. "Air pollution and behavioral biases: Evidence from stock market anomalies," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
  19. Cheng, Hui-Pei & Swee, Eik Leong, 2024. "Farewell President! Political favoritism, economic inequality, and political polarization," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  20. Potrafke, Niklas, 2017. "Partisan politics: The empirical evidence from OECD panel studies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 712-750.
  21. Chuanzhen Li & Liang Zhao & Yiwen Zhang, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and cash dividend policy: evidence from China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, December.
  22. Marshall, Ben R. & Nguyen, Hung T. & Nguyen, Nhut H. & Visaltanachoti, Nuttawat, 2018. "Politics and liquidity," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-13.
  23. Dodge Cahan & Niklas Potrafke, 2021. "The Democrat-Republican presidential growth gap and the partisan balance of the state governments," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 189(3), pages 577-601, December.
  24. Ľuboš Pástor & Pietro Veronesi, 2020. "Political Cycles and Stock Returns," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(11), pages 4011-4045.
  25. Ernest Dautovic, 2018. "The weight of the median voter ageing on public debt," Constitutional Political Economy, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 69-92, March.
  26. Hector H. Sandoval & Anita N. Walsh, 2024. "Sentiments and spending intentions: Evidence from Florida," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(3), pages 1046-1073, July.
  27. Manuel Funke & Moritz Schularick & Christoph Trebesch, 2021. "The Cost of Populism: Evidence from history," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 015, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
  28. Ondrej Schneider, 2019. "Partisan Fiscal Policy: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe," CESifo Working Paper Series 8014, CESifo.
  29. Benjamin Born & Gernot J. Müller & Moritz Schularick & Petr Sedláček, 2021. "The macroeconomic impact of Trump," Policy Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(5-6), pages 580-591, November.
  30. Robert Kirkby, 2023. "Quantitative Macroeconomics: Lessons Learned from Fourteen Replications," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(2), pages 875-896, February.
  31. Alnahedh, Saad & Alhashel, Bader, 2024. "Firm executive political leanings, Washington, and stock market returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 476-491.
  32. William Easterly & Steven Pennings, 2020. "Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders," NBER Working Papers 27153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  33. Dorine Boumans & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Fabian Ruthardt, 2021. "The Global Economic Impact of Politicians: Evidence from an International Survey RCT," CESifo Working Paper Series 8833, CESifo.
  34. Chengxue Yao & Fan Jiang & Liang Guo, 2023. "Fixed investment or financial assets investment: Evidence from political uncertainty in China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(1), pages 427-450, March.
  35. Chan, Kam Fong & Marsh, Terry, 2021. "Asset prices, midterm elections, and political uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 276-296.
  36. Hoda Aboushanab & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Fabian Ruthardt & Jannik Sielmann, 2020. "Ökonomenpanel: Hoffnungsträger Biden," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(12), pages 40-43, December.
  37. Pan, Wei-Fong, 2023. "The effect of populism on high-skilled migration: Evidence from inventors," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  38. Pan, Wei-Fong, 2023. "Household debt in the times of populism," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 202-215.
  39. Montone, Maurizio, 2022. "Does the U.S. president affect the stock market?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  40. Philipp Hauber & Stormy-Annika Mildner & Galina Kolev & Jürgen Matthes & Sonja Peterson & Reimund Schwarze & Christiane Lemke & Martin, Thunert & Laura von Daniels & Josef Braml & Johannes Varwick & D, 2021. "Die USA unter Joe Biden: Kehrtwende oder "America first light"?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(01), pages 03-37, January.
  41. Rustam Ibragimov & Jihyun Kim & Anton Skrobotov, 2020. "New robust inference for predictive regressions," Papers 2006.01191, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
  42. William J Berger & Adam Sales, 2020. "Testing epistemic democracy’s claims for majority rule," Politics, Philosophy & Economics, , vol. 19(1), pages 22-35, February.
  43. Mourelatos, Evangelos, 2023. "Does Mood affect Sexual and Gender Discrimination in Hiring Choices? Evidence from Online Experiments," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  44. Harouna Sedgo, 2024. "Corruption and leadership in Africa: Evidence from Burkina Faso," EconomiX Working Papers 2024-16, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  45. Das, Kuntal K. & Yaghoubi, Mona, 2023. "Stock liquidity and firm-level political risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  46. Sy, Oumar & Zaman, Ashraf Al, 2020. "Is the presidential premium spurious?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 94-104.
  47. Mella, Javier, 2024. "Corporate taxes, partisan politics, and stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  48. Lukas Menkhoff, 2022. "Wohlstand schaffen oder verteilen? Ein kurzer Blick auf Wahl- und Regierungsprogramme [Creating or Distributing Prosperity? A Quick Look at Election and Government Programs]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(5), pages 374-378, May.
  49. Chrétien, Stéphane & Fu, Hsuan, 2023. "Presidential cycles in international equity flows and returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
  50. Chan, Kam Fong & Gray, Philip & Gray, Stephen & Zhong, Angel, 2020. "Political uncertainty, market anomalies and Presidential honeymoons," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  51. Dybowski, T.P. & Adämmer, P., 2018. "The economic effects of U.S. presidential tax communication: Evidence from a correlated topic model," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 511-525.
  52. Michael A. Brown & Michael Pugliese, 2016. "Does Economic Activity Slow in Election Years?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 260-265, October.
  53. Dodge Cahan & Luisa Doerr & Niklas Potrafke, 2019. "Government ideology and monetary policy in OECD countries," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 181(3), pages 215-238, December.
  54. Ursula Muench & Armin Nassehi & Joe Kaeser & Knut Bergmann & Matthias Diermeier & Florian Dorn & David Gstrein & Florian Neumeier & Manuel Funke & Moritz Schularick & Christoph Trebesch & Kerim Peren , 2024. "Wohlstand in Gefahr? Ursachen und Folgen von Populismus," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 77(03), pages 03-32, March.
  55. Anderson, Warwick & Białkowski, Jędrzej & Wagner, Moritz, 2023. "Midterm elections and stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
  56. Celso José Costa Junior & Alejandro C. García Cintado & Manuel Alejandro Hidalgo Pérez, 2019. "Political-Business Cycles in BRICS Economies: Evidence from Brazil," Working Papers 19.09, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
  57. Coulombe, Raphaelle G., 2021. "The electoral origin of government spending shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  58. Huynh, Nhan & Le, Quynh Nga & Tran, Quang Thien, 2024. "Firm-level political risk and intellectual capital investment: Does managerial ability matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  59. Walter Distaso & Rustam Ibragimov & Alexander Semenov & Anton Skrobotov, 2020. "COVID-19: Tail Risk and Predictive Regressions," Papers 2009.02486, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
  60. Huntington, Hillard G., 2018. "Measuring oil supply disruptions: A historical perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 426-433.
  61. Ramón E. López, 2018. "Power in Economics: Growth, Inequality and Politics," Working Papers wp476, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
  62. Christian Gillitzer & Nalini Prasad & Tim Robinson, 2021. "Political Attitudes and Inflation Expectations: Evidence and Implications," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 605-634, June.
  63. Youngsoo Kim & Jung Chul Park, 2022. "Presidential power and stock returns," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 51(2), pages 455-499, June.
  64. Samar Ashour & David Rakowski & Salil K. Sarkar, 2021. "Currency risk exposure and the presidential effect in stock returns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 45(3), pages 469-485, July.
  65. Chen, Zilin & Da, Zhi & Huang, Dashan & Wang, Liyao, 2023. "Presidential economic approval rating and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 106-131.
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