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Electricity Demand Analysis Using Cointegration and ARIMA Modelling: A case study of Turkey

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kucukali, Serhat & Baris, Kemal, 2010. "Turkey's short-term gross annual electricity demand forecast by fuzzy logic approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 2438-2445, May.
  2. Ohtsuka, Yoshihiro & Oga, Takashi & Kakamu, Kazuhiko, 2010. "Forecasting electricity demand in Japan: A Bayesian spatial autoregressive ARMA approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2721-2735, November.
  3. Samuel Yeboah Asuamah & Joseph Ohene-Manu, 2015. "An Econometric Investigation of Forecasting Premium Fuel," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 716-724.
  4. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2010. "Natural gas demand in Turkey," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 211-219, January.
  5. Fuat Oğuz, 2010. "Competition by regulation in energy markets: the case of Turkey," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 41-58, August.
  6. Prasad, Ravita D. & Raturi, Atul, 2017. "Grid electricity for Fiji islands: Future supply options and assessment of demand trends," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 860-871.
  7. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2010. "A paper on the unsettled question of Turkish electricity market: Balancing and settlement system (Part I)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 251-258, January.
  8. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William, 2012. "Conditional dynamic forecast of electrical energy consumption requirements in Ghana by 2020: A comparison of ARDL and PAM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 367-380.
  9. Wu, Qunli & Peng, Chenyang, 2017. "A hybrid BAG-SA optimal approach to estimate energy demand of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 985-995.
  10. Shakouri, Mahmoud & Lee, Hyun Woo & Kim, Yong-Woo, 2017. "A probabilistic portfolio-based model for financial valuation of community solar," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 709-726.
  11. Dagoumas, A.S. & Panapakidis, I.P. & Papagiannis, G.K. & Dokopoulos, P.S., 2008. "Post-Kyoto energy consumption strategies for the Greek interconnected electric system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1980-1999, June.
  12. Melikoglu, Mehmet, 2013. "Vision 2023: Assessing the feasibility of electricity and biogas production from municipal solid waste in Turkey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 52-63.
  13. Bianco, Vincenzo & Manca, Oronzio & Nardini, Sergio & Minea, Alina A., 2010. "Analysis and forecasting of nonresidential electricity consumption in Romania," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(11), pages 3584-3590, November.
  14. Tutun, Salih & Chou, Chun-An & Canıyılmaz, Erdal, 2015. "A new forecasting framework for volatile behavior in net electricity consumption: A case study in Turkey," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 2406-2422.
  15. Günay, M. Erdem, 2016. "Forecasting annual gross electricity demand by artificial neural networks using predicted values of socio-economic indicators and climatic conditions: Case of Turkey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 92-101.
  16. Ali Akkemik, K., 2009. "Cost function estimates, scale economies and technological progress in the Turkish electricity generation sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 204-213, January.
  17. Wang, Yuanyuan & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhao, Ge & Dong, Yao, 2012. "Application of residual modification approach in seasonal ARIMA for electricity demand forecasting: A case study of China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 284-294.
  18. repec:eee:eneeco:v:67:y:2017:i:c:p:159-168 is not listed on IDEAS
  19. Suganthi, L. & Samuel, Anand A., 2012. "Energy models for demand forecasting—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 1223-1240.
  20. Dilaver, Zafer & Hunt, Lester C., 2011. "Industrial electricity demand for Turkey: A structural time series analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 426-436, May.
  21. Yu, Shiwei & Wei, Yi-Ming & Wang, Ke, 2012. "A PSO–GA optimal model to estimate primary energy demand of China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 329-340.
  22. Verdejo, Humberto & Awerkin, Almendra & Saavedra, Eugenio & Kliemann, Wolfgang & Vargas, Luis, 2016. "Stochastic modeling to represent wind power generation and demand in electric power system based on real data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 283-295.
  23. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2008. "An exposé of bioenergy and its potential and utilization in Turkey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 2182-2190, June.
  24. Noel Alter & Shabib Haider Syed, 2011. "An Empirical Analysis of Electricity Demand in Pakistan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 1(4), pages 116-139.
  25. repec:eee:enepol:v:109:y:2017:i:c:p:208-217 is not listed on IDEAS
  26. Melikoglu, Mehmet, 2013. "Vision 2023: Forecasting Turkey's natural gas demand between 2013 and 2030," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 393-400.
  27. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2007. "Nuclear power in open energy markets: A case study of Turkey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 3061-3073, May.
  28. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2016. "Asymmetric volatility in European day-ahead power markets: A comparative microeconomic analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 398-409.
  29. repec:eee:rensus:v:88:y:2018:i:c:p:297-325 is not listed on IDEAS
  30. Çetinkaya, Murat & Başaran, Alparslan A. & Bağdadioğlu, Necmiddin, 2015. "Electricity reform, tariff and household elasticity in Turkey," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 79-85.
  31. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2009. "Some thoughts on the Turkish electricity distribution industry," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(6-7), pages 1485-1494, August.
  32. repec:eee:rensus:v:74:y:2017:i:c:p:512-521 is not listed on IDEAS
  33. Bianco, Vincenzo & Scarpa, Federico & Tagliafico, Luca A., 2014. "Scenario analysis of nonresidential natural gas consumption in Italy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 392-403.
  34. Rallapalli, Srinivasa Rao & Ghosh, Sajal, 2012. "Forecasting monthly peak demand of electricity in India—A critique," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 516-520.
  35. Bianco, Vincenzo & Manca, Oronzio & Nardini, Sergio, 2009. "Electricity consumption forecasting in Italy using linear regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(9), pages 1413-1421.
  36. Reza Fazeli & Brynhildur Davidsdottir & Jonas Hlynur Hallgrimsson, 2016. "Climate Impact On Energy Demand For Space Heating In Iceland," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 1-23, May.
  37. Naeem Ur Rehman, Khattak & Tariq, Muhammad & Khan, Jangraiz, 2010. "Determinants of Household’s Demand for Electricity in District Peshawar," MPRA Paper 56007, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2010.
  38. Hamzacebi, Coskun & Es, Huseyin Avni, 2014. "Forecasting the annual electricity consumption of Turkey using an optimized grey model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 165-171.
  39. Wang, Shuai & Yu, Lean & Tang, Ling & Wang, Shouyang, 2011. "A novel seasonal decomposition based least squares support vector regression ensemble learning approach for hydropower consumption forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 6542-6554.
  40. Kankal, Murat & AkpInar, Adem & Kömürcü, Murat Ihsan & Özsahin, Talat Sükrü, 2011. "Modeling and forecasting of Turkey's energy consumption using socio-economic and demographic variables," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(5), pages 1927-1939, May.
  41. repec:eee:rensus:v:74:y:2017:i:c:p:902-924 is not listed on IDEAS
  42. repec:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:5:p:1515-:d:145597 is not listed on IDEAS
  43. Tang, Ling & Yu, Lean & Wang, Shuai & Li, Jianping & Wang, Shouyang, 2012. "A novel hybrid ensemble learning paradigm for nuclear energy consumption forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 432-443.
  44. Erdogdu, Erkan, 2009. "On the wind energy in Turkey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(6-7), pages 1361-1371, August.
  45. Dicembrino, Claudio & Trovato, Giovanni, 2013. "Structural Breaks, Price and Income Elasticity, and Forecast of the Monthly Italian Electricity Demand," MPRA Paper 47653, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  46. Paul Adjei Kwakwa & Solomon Aboagye, 2014. "Energy consumption in Ghana and the story of economic growth, industrialization, trade openness and urbanization," Asian Bulletin of Energy Economics and Technology, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 1(1), pages 1-6.
  47. repec:gam:jeners:v:10:y:2017:i:11:p:1868-:d:118909 is not listed on IDEAS
  48. Yeboah Asuamah, Samuel, 2015. "An econometric investigation of forecasting liquefied petroleum gas in Ghana," MPRA Paper 67834, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  49. Fazeli, Reza & Davidsdottir, Brynhildur & Hallgrimsson, Jonas Hlynur, 2016. "Residential energy demand for space heating in the Nordic countries: Accounting for interfuel substitution," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 1210-1226.
  50. Dilaver, Zafer & Hunt, Lester C., 2011. "Turkish aggregate electricity demand: An outlook to 2020," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 6686-6696.
  51. Köne, Aylin Çigdem & Büke, Tayfun, 2010. "Forecasting of CO2 emissions from fuel combustion using trend analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(9), pages 2906-2915, December.
  52. Bazmi, Aqeel Ahmed & Zahedi, Gholamreza, 2011. "Sustainable energy systems: Role of optimization modeling techniques in power generation and supply—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(8), pages 3480-3500.
  53. Zhao, Deyin & Zhong, Ming & Zhang, Xu & Su, Xing, 2016. "Energy consumption predicting model of VRV (Variable refrigerant volume) system in office buildings based on data mining," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 660-668.
  54. Yu, Shi-wei & Zhu, Ke-jun, 2012. "A hybrid procedure for energy demand forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 396-404.
  55. Abdulkerim Karaaslan & Mesliha Gezen, 2017. "Forecasting of Turkey’s Sectoral Energy Demand by Using Fuzzy Grey Regression Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 67-77.
  56. García-Ascanio, Carolina & Maté, Carlos, 2010. "Electric power demand forecasting using interval time series: A comparison between VAR and iMLP," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 715-725, February.
  57. Nafidi, A. & Gutiérrez, R. & Gutiérrez-Sánchez, R. & Ramos-Ábalos, E. & El Hachimi, S., 2016. "Modelling and predicting electricity consumption in Spain using the stochastic Gamma diffusion process with exogenous factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 309-318.
  58. Møller, Niels Framroze, 2015. "Energy Demand, Substitution and a Potential for Electrification: An econometric analysis of eight Danish subsectors," MPRA Paper 69931, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  59. Gam, Imen & Ben Rejeb, Jaleleddine, 2012. "Electricity demand in Tunisia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 714-720.
  60. Jason B. Jorgensen & Fred Joutz, 2012. "Modelling and Forecasting Residential Electricity Consumption in the U.S. Mountain Region," Working Papers 2012-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting.
  61. Gang Du & Chuanwang Sun, 2015. "Determinants of Electricity Demand in Nonmetallic Mineral Products Industry: Evidence from a Comparative Study of Japan and China," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 7(6), pages 1-25, June.
  62. Yousefi-Sahzabi, Amin & Unlu-Yucesoy, Eda & Sasaki, Kyuro & Yuosefi, Hossein & Widiatmojo, Arif & Sugai, Yuichi, 2017. "Turkish challenges for low-carbon society: Current status, government policies and social acceptance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P1), pages 596-608.
  63. Türkekul, Berna & UnakItan, Gökhan, 2011. "A co-integration analysis of the price and income elasticities of energy demand in Turkish agriculture," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 2416-2423, May.
  64. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William & Akoena, Sesi Kutri Komla, 2012. "Modelling aggregate domestic electricity demand in Ghana: An autoregressive distributed lag bounds cointegration approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 530-537.
  65. repec:eco:journ2:2017-04-33 is not listed on IDEAS
  66. Møller, Niels Framroze, 2017. "Energy demand, substitution and environmental taxation: An econometric analysis of eight subsectors of the Danish economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 97-109.
  67. Arisoy, Ibrahim & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2014. "Estimating industrial and residential electricity demand in Turkey: A time varying parameter approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 959-964.
  68. repec:gam:jeners:v:10:y:2017:i:11:p:1879-:d:119196 is not listed on IDEAS
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