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How to find plausible, severe, and useful stress scenarios

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Cited by:

  1. Sahin, Cenkhan & de Haan, Jakob & Neretina, Ekaterina, 2020. "Banking stress test effects on returns and risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  2. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," Working Papers 202106, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
  3. Dror Y. Kenett & Sary Levy-Carciente & Adam Avakian & H. Eugene Stanley & Shlomo Havlin, 2015. "Dynamical Macroprudential Stress Testing Using Network Theory," Working Papers 15-12, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  4. Azamat Abdymomunov & Sharon Blei & Bakhodir Ergashev, 2015. "Integrating Stress Scenarios into Risk Quantification Models," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 47(1), pages 57-79, February.
  5. Ahn, Dohyun & Kim, Kyoung-Kuk & Kwon, Eunji, 2023. "Multivariate stress scenario selection in interbank networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  6. Paul Glasserman & Chulmin Kang & Wanmo Kang, 2013. "Stress Scenario Selection by Empirical Likelihood," Working Papers 13-07, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  7. Agata Gemzik-Salwach, 2012. "The Use Of A Value At Risk Measure For The Analysis Of Bank Interest Margins," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 8(4), pages 15-29, February.
  8. Adam Gersl & Jakub Seidler, 2010. "Stress Test Verification as Part of an Advanced Stress-Testing Framework," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Financial Stability Report 2009/2010, chapter 0, pages 92-101, Czech National Bank.
  9. Dina Manolache Aurora Elena, 2019. "Stress and scenario tests in the context of a Romanian non-life insurance company," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 149-161, May.
  10. Adam Gersl & Jakub Seidler, 2010. "Conservative Stress Testing: The Role of Regular Verification," Working Papers IES 2010/12, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2008.
  11. Acharya, Viral & Engle, Robert & Pierret, Diane, 2014. "Testing macroprudential stress tests: The risk of regulatory risk weights," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 36-53.
  12. N. Packham & F. Woebbeking, 2021. "Correlation scenarios and correlation stress testing," Papers 2107.06839, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  13. Marco Gross & Javier Población, 2019. "Implications of Model Uncertainty for Bank Stress Testing," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 55(1), pages 31-58, February.
  14. Adam Gersl & Petr Jakubik & Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler, 2013. "Dynamic Stress Testing: The Framework for Assessing the Resilience of the Banking Sector Used by the Czech National Bank," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(6), pages 505-536, December.
  15. Darne, O. & Levy-Rueff, O. & Pop, A., 2013. "Calibrating Initial Shocks in Bank Stress Test Scenarios: An Outlier Detection Based Approach," Working papers 426, Banque de France.
  16. Giorgi, Emanuele & McNeil, Alexander J., 2016. "On the computation of multivariate scenario sets for the skew-t and generalized hyperbolic families," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 205-220.
  17. Abdelaziz Rouabah & John Theal, 2010. "Stress testing: The impact of shocks on the capital needs of the Luxembourg banking sector," BCL working papers 47, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
  18. Alejandro Ferrer Pérez & José Casals Carro & Sonia Sotoca López, 2014. "Linking the problems of estimating and allocating unconditional capital," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2014-13, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
  19. Duellmann, Klaus & Kick, Thomas, 2012. "Stress testing German banks against a global cost-of-capital shock," Discussion Papers 04/2012, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  20. Pavel Kapinos & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2016. "A Top-down Approach to Stress-testing Banks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 49(2), pages 229-264, June.
  21. Andrew McKenna & Rhys Bidder, 2014. "Robust Stress Testing," 2014 Meeting Papers 853, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  22. Dissem, Sonia & Lobez, Frederic, 2020. "Correlation between the 2014 EU-wide stress tests and the market-based measures of systemic risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  23. Packham, Natalie & Woebbeking, Fabian, 2021. "Correlation scenarios and correlation stress testing," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2021-012, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  24. Ferrer, Alex & Casals, José & Sotoca, Sonia, 2016. "Efficient estimation of unconditional capital by Monte Carlo simulation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 75-84.
  25. Bookstaber, Rick & Cetina, Jill & Feldberg, Greg & Flood, Mark & Glasserman, Paul, 2013. "Stress tests to promote financial stability: Assessing progress and looking to the future," Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, Henry Stewart Publications, vol. 7(1), pages 16-25, December.
  26. Reza Siregar & Lim C.S. Vincent & Victor Pontines, 2011. "Post Global Financial Crisis: Issues and Challenges for Central Banks of Emerging Markets," Staff Papers, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number sp80.
  27. Buncic, Daniel & Melecky, Martin, 2013. "Macroprudential stress testing of credit risk: A practical approach for policy makers," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 347-370.
  28. De Genaro, Alan, 2016. "Systematic multi-period stress scenarios with an application to CCP risk management," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 119-134.
  29. Zi-Yi Guo, 2017. "A Model of Plausible, Severe and Useful Stress Scenarios for VIX Shocks," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 4(3), pages 155-163, May.
  30. Levy-Carciente, Sary & Kenett, Dror Y. & Avakian, Adam & Stanley, H. Eugene & Havlin, Shlomo, 2015. "Dynamical macroprudential stress testing using network theory," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 164-181.
  31. Krishan Mohan Nagpal, 2017. "Designing stress scenarios for portfolios," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(4), pages 323-349, November.
  32. Mr. Dimitri G Demekas, 2015. "Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests: Progress So Far and the Way Forward," IMF Working Papers 2015/146, International Monetary Fund.
  33. Scholz, Roland W. & Czichos, Reiner & Parycek, Peter & Lampoltshammer, Thomas J., 2020. "Organizational vulnerability of digital threats: A first validation of an assessment method," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(2), pages 627-643.
  34. Cristófoli, María Elizabeth & García Fronti, Javier, 2019. "Macroeconomic Reverse Stress Testing: An Early-Warning System for Spanish Banking Regulators. Analysis Based on the 2008 Global Financial Crisis / Prueba de resistencia inversa Macroeconómica: una pru," Estocástica: finanzas y riesgo, Departamento de Administración de la Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Unidad Azcapotzalco, vol. 9(2), pages 181-204, julio-dic.
  35. Pascal Traccucci & Luc Dumontier & Guillaume Garchery & Benjamin Jacot, 2019. "A Triptych Approach for Reverse Stress Testing of Complex Portfolios," Papers 1906.11186, arXiv.org.
  36. Dimitrios Bisias & Mark Flood & Andrew W. Lo & Stavros Valavanis, 2012. "A Survey of Systemic Risk Analytics," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 255-296, October.
  37. Reza Siregar & Lim, C.S. Vincent, 2011. "Living with Macro-financial Linkages: Policy Perspectives and Challenges for SEACEN Countries," Staff Papers, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number sp79.
  38. Chang Liu & Raja Nassar, 2019. "Stress Testing for Retail Mortgages Based on Probability Analysis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(1), pages 433-455, January.
  39. Jiri Panos & Petr Polak, 2019. "How to Improve the Model Selection Procedure in a Stress-testing Framework," Working Papers 2019/9, Czech National Bank.
  40. Piotr Wdowiński, 2014. "Makroekonomiczne czynniki ryzyka kredytowego w sektorze bankowym w Polsce," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 55-77.
  41. Adam Gersl & Jakub Seidler, 2012. "How to Improve the Quality of Stress Tests through Backtesting," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(4), pages 325-346, August.
  42. Packham, N. & Woebbeking, C.F., 2019. "A factor-model approach for correlation scenarios and correlation stress testing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 92-103.
  43. Packham, N. & Woebbeking, F., 2023. "Correlation scenarios and correlation stress testing," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 55-67.
  44. Mokinski, Frieder, 2017. "A severity function approach to scenario selection," Discussion Papers 34/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  45. Breuer, Thomas & Jandačka, Martin & Mencía, Javier & Summer, Martin, 2012. "A systematic approach to multi-period stress testing of portfolio credit risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 332-340.
  46. Pritsker, Matt, 2019. "An overview of regulatory stress-testing and steps to improve it," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 39-43.
  47. Kolari, James W. & López-Iturriaga, Félix J. & Sanz, Ivan Pastor, 2019. "Predicting European bank stress tests: Survival of the fittest," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 44-57.
  48. Aditya Anta Taruna & Cicilia Anggadewi Harun & Raquela Renanda Nattan, 2020. "Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Test: An Application to Indonesian Banks," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 165-187.
  49. Mr. Christian Schmieder & Maher Hasan & Mr. Claus Puhr, 2011. "Next Generation Balance Sheet Stress Testing," IMF Working Papers 2011/083, International Monetary Fund.
  50. Takaaki Koike & Marius Hofert, 2020. "Modality for Scenario Analysis and Maximum Likelihood Allocation," Papers 2005.02950, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
  51. McNeil, Alexander J. & Smith, Andrew D., 2012. "Multivariate stress scenarios and solvency," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 299-308.
  52. Bonucchi, Manuel & Catalano, Michele, 2022. "How severe are the EBA macroeconomic scenarios for the Italian Economy? A joint probability approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  53. Giuseppe Montesi & Giovanni Papiro & Massimiliano Fazzini & Alessandro Ronga, 2020. "Stochastic Optimization System for Bank Reverse Stress Testing," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-44, August.
  54. Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau, 2017. "Lasso Regressions and Forecasting Models in Applied Stress Testing," IMF Working Papers 2017/108, International Monetary Fund.
  55. Nan Chen & Paul Glasserman & Behzad Nouri & Markus Pelger, 2013. "CoCos, Bail-In, and Tail Risk," Working Papers 13-04, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  56. Michel Baes & Eric Schaanning, 2023. "Reverse stress testing: Scenario design for macroprudential stress tests," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 209-256, April.
  57. Michal Franta & Jozef Barunik & Roman Horvath & Katerina Smidkova, 2011. "Are Bayesian Fan Charts Useful for Central Banks? Uncertainty, Forecasting, and Financial Stability Stress Tests," Working Papers 2011/10, Czech National Bank.
  58. Koziol, Philipp & Schell, Carmen & Eckhardt, Meik, 2015. "Credit risk stress testing and copulas: Is the Gaussian copula better than its reputation?," Discussion Papers 46/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  59. Adam Gersl & Petr Jakubik & Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler, 2012. "Dynamic Stress Testing: The Framework for Testing Banking Sector Resilience Used by the Czech National Bank," Working Papers 2012/11, Czech National Bank.
  60. Majumder, Debasish, 2023. "Subjectivity in conventional tail measures: An exploratory model with 'risks & biases’," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
  61. Roman Horvath & Dan Vaško, 2012. "Central Bank Transparency and Financial Stability: Measurement, Determinants and Effects," Working Papers IES 2012/25, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2012.
  62. Matthew Pritsker, 2017. "Choosing Stress Scenarios for Systemic Risk Through Dimension Reduction," Supervisory Research and Analysis Working Papers RPA 17-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
  63. Schechtman, Ricardo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2012. "Macro stress testing of credit risk focused on the tails," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 174-192.
  64. Klaus Düllmann & Thomas Kick, 2014. "Stress testing German banks against a global credit crunch," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 28(4), pages 337-361, November.
  65. Michal Franta & Jozef Baruník & Roman Horváth & Katerina Smídková, 2014. "Are Bayesian Fan Charts Useful? The Effect of Zero Lower Bound and Evaluation of Financial Stability Stress Tests," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(1), pages 159-188, March.
  66. Mark Flood & George Korenko, 2013. "Systematic Scenario Selection," Working Papers 13-02, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  67. Breuer, Thomas & Csiszár, Imre, 2013. "Systematic stress tests with entropic plausibility constraints," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1552-1559.
  68. Paul Glasserman & Mike Li, 2022. "Should Bank Stress Tests Be Fair?," Papers 2207.13319, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
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