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Dynamic Stress Testing: The Framework for Testing Banking Sector Resilience Used by the Czech National Bank

Author

Listed:
  • Adam Gersl
  • Petr Jakubik
  • Tomas Konecny
  • Jakub Seidler

Abstract

This paper describes the current stress-testing framework used at the Czech National Bank to test the resilience of the banking sector. Macroeconomic scenarios and satellite models linking macroeconomic developments with key risk parameters and assumptions for generating dynamic stock-flow consistent behavior of individual bank balance-sheet items are discussed. Examples from past CNB Financial Stability Reports are given and an emphasis is put on conservative calibration of the stress-testing framework so as to ensure that the impact of adverse scenarios on the banking sector is not underestimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Gersl & Petr Jakubik & Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler, 2012. "Dynamic Stress Testing: The Framework for Testing Banking Sector Resilience Used by the Czech National Bank," Working Papers 2012/11, Czech National Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2012/11
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Petr Polak & Jiri Panos, 2019. "The Impact of Expectations on IFRS 9 Loan Loss Provisions," Research and Policy Notes 2019/03, Czech National Bank.
    2. Zlatuse Komarkova & Marek Rusnak & Hana Hejlova, 2016. "The Relationship between Liquidity Risk and Credit Risk in The CNB's Liquidity Stress Tests," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Financial Stability Report 2015/2016, chapter 0, pages 127-136, Czech National Bank.
    3. Hana Hejlová & Zlatuše Komárková & Marek Rusnák, 2020. "A Liquidity Risk Stress-Testing Framework with Basel Liquidity Standards," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(3), pages 251-273.
    4. Josef Brechler & Vaclav Hausenblas & Zlatuse Komarkova & Miroslav Plasil, 2014. "Similarity and Clustering of Banks: Application to the Credit Exposures of the Czech Banking Sector," Research and Policy Notes 2014/04, Czech National Bank.
    5. Zlatuse Komarkova & Marcela Gronychova, 2012. "Models for Stress Testing in the Insurance Sector," Research and Policy Notes 2012/02, Czech National Bank.
    6. Hana Hejlová & Zlatuše Komárková & Marek Rusnák, . "A Liquidity Risk Stress-Testing Framework with Basel Liquidity Standards," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 0.
    7. Miroslav Plasil, 2021. "Designing Macro-Financial Scenarios: The New CNB Framework and Satellite Models for Property Prices and Credit," Research and Policy Notes 2021/01, Czech National Bank.
    8. Simona Malovaná & Michal Hlavácek & Kamil Galušcák, 2017. "Stress testing the Czech household sector using microdata - practical applications in the policy-making process," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data needs and Statistics compilation for macroprudential analysis, volume 46, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Kamil Galuscak & Adam Gersl & Marcela Gronychova & Petr Hlavac & Petr Jakubik & Lubos Komarek & Zlatuse Komarkova & Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler, 2014. "Stress-Testing Analyses of the Czech Financial System," Occasional Publications - Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, edition 1, volume 12, number rb12/1 edited by Jan Babecky & Roman Horvath, January.
    10. Jiri Panos & Petr Polak, 2019. "How to Improve the Model Selection Procedure in a Stress-testing Framework," Working Papers 2019/9, Czech National Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Banking sector; credit risk; stress tests.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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