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Realized jumps on financial markets and predicting credit spreads

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Yu-Min Yen, 2013. "Testing Jumps via False Discovery Rate Control," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(4), pages 1-15, April.
  2. Harjoat S. Bhamra & Lars-Alexander Kuehn & Ilya A. Strebulaev, 2010. "The Levered Equity Risk Premium and Credit Spreads: A Unified Framework," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(2), pages 645-703, February.
  3. Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S., 2020. "High-frequency jump tests: Which test should we use?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 478-487.
  4. Sévi, Benoît, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 235(3), pages 643-659.
  5. Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S. & Grose, Simone D., 2012. "Probabilistic forecasts of volatility and its risk premia," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 217-236.
  6. Yeh, Jin-Huei & Yun, Mu-Shu, 2023. "Assessing jump and cojumps in financial asset returns with applications in futures markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  7. Fleming, Jeff & Paye, Bradley S., 2011. "High-frequency returns, jumps and the mixture of normals hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 119-128, January.
  8. Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel, 2019. "Jumps in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 55-70.
  9. Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
  10. Liu, Wenwen & Zhang, Chang & Qiao, Gaoxiu & Xu, Lei, 2022. "Impact of network investor sentiment and news arrival on jumps," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  11. Yusui Tang & Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei, 2022. "Forecasting the oil price realized volatility: A multivariate heterogeneous autoregressive model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4770-4783, October.
  12. Viral V. Acharya & Peter DeMarzo & Ilan Kremer, 2011. "Endogenous Information Flows and the Clustering of Announcements," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(7), pages 2955-2979, December.
  13. Xueer Zhang & Jui‐Cheng Hung & Chien‐Liang Chiu, 2025. "Do Price Jumps Matter in Volatility Forecasts of US Treasury Futures?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(4), pages 326-342, April.
  14. Jerome L Kreuser & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Super-Exponential RE Bubble Model with Efficient Crashes," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 17-33, Swiss Finance Institute.
  15. Maki, Daiki & Ota, Yasushi, 2021. "Impacts of asymmetry on forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  16. Muhammad Anas & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Larisa Yarovaya, 2024. "The use of high-frequency data in cryptocurrency research: a meta-review of literature with bibliometric analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-31, December.
  17. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Xiu, Dacheng, 2016. "Increased correlation among asset classes: Are volatility or jumps to blame, or both?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(2), pages 205-219.
  18. Füss, Roland & Grabellus, Markus & Mager, Ferdinand & Stein, Michael, 2018. "Something in the air: Information density, news surprises, and price jumps," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 50-75.
  19. Nolte, Ingmar & Xu, Qi, 2015. "The economic value of volatility timing with realized jumps," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 45-59.
  20. Youcong Chao & Xiaoqun Liu & Shijun Guo, 2017. "Sign realized jump risk and the cross-section of stock returns: Evidence from China's stock market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(8), pages 1-14, August.
  21. Cui, Jing & Zhao, Hua, 2015. "Intraday jumps in China's Treasury bond market and macro news announcements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 211-223.
  22. Dang, D.M. & Forsyth, P.A., 2016. "Better than pre-commitment mean-variance portfolio allocation strategies: A semi-self-financing Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 827-841.
  23. Chen, Yan & Liu, Yakun & Bouri, Elie & Zhang, Lei, 2025. "Jump imbalance and Chinese stock market returns," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  24. Chowdhury, Biplob & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam, 2019. "An empirical examination of the jump and diffusion aspects of asset pricing: Japanese evidence," Working Papers 2019-02, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
  25. Jang, Bong-Gyu & Rhee, Yuna & Yoon, Ji Hee, 2016. "Business cycle and credit risk modeling with jump risks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 15-36.
  26. Shaoyang Zhao & Pengfei Deng & Qingyuan Deng, 2026. "The Impact of Value Jumps on Bond Spreads: Based on ChinaBond Valuation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 4334-4354, July.
  27. Eric Jacquier & Cedric Okou, 2013. "Disentangling Continuous Volatility from Jumps in Long-Run Risk-Return Relationships," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-14, CIRANO.
  28. PeiLin Hsieh & QinQin Zhang & Yajun Wang, 2018. "Jump risk and option liquidity in an incomplete market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(11), pages 1334-1369, November.
  29. Niu, Zilong, 2020. "Essays in empirical asset pricing and international finance," Other publications TiSEM 986cefd5-4d2b-4d5f-be7a-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  30. Benoît Sévi & César Baena, 2013. "The explanatory power of signed jumps for the risk-return tradeoff," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1029-1046.
  31. Omura, Akihiro & Li, Bin & Chung, Richard & Todorova, Neda, 2018. "Convenience yield, realised volatility and jumps: Evidence from non-ferrous metals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 496-510.
  32. Chu, Xiaojun & Zhou, Haigang, 2026. "The impact of investor attention to the federal reserve on jumps in China’s stock market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  33. Zhang, Zehua & Zhao, Ran, 2023. "Good volatility, bad volatility, and the cross section of cryptocurrency returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  34. Charles S. Bos & Paweł Janus & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Spot Variance Path Estimation and Its Application to High-Frequency Jump Testing," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(2), pages 354-389, 2012 06.
  35. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Is there a risk-return trade-off in cryptocurrency markets? The case of Bitcoin," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  36. Batten, Jonathan A. & Jacoby, Gady & Liao, Rose C., 2014. "Corporate yield spreads and real interest rates," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 89-100.
  37. Friesen, Geoffrey C. & Weller, Paul A. & Dunham, Lee M., 2009. "Price trends and patterns in technical analysis: A theoretical and empirical examination," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1089-1100, June.
  38. González-Urteaga, Ana & Muga, Luis & Santamaria, Rafael, 2015. "Momentum and default risk. Some results using the jump component," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 185-193.
  39. Garcia, René & Renault, Eric & Veredas, David, 2011. "Estimation of stable distributions by indirect inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 325-337, April.
  40. Saranya Kshatriya & Krishna Prasanna, 2020. "Unveiling Contemporaneous Relations Between Jump Risk and Cross Section of Stock Returns," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 581-604, September.
  41. Yucheng Sun, 2024. "Testing for jumps with robust spot volatility estimators," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 78(1), pages 79-104, February.
  42. Odusami, Babatunde O., 2021. "Volatility jumps and their determinants in REIT returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  43. Sévi, Benoît, 2013. "An empirical analysis of the downside risk-return trade-off at daily frequency," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 189-197.
  44. Bjursell, Johan & Gentle, James E. & Wang, George H.K., 2015. "Inventory announcements, jump dynamics, volatility and trading volume in U.S. energy futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 336-349.
  45. Duan, Jin-Chuan & Yeh, Chung-Ying, 2010. "Jump and volatility risk premiums implied by VIX," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2232-2244, November.
  46. Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017. "Dynamic asset price jumps and the performance of high frequency tests and measures," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  47. Pukthuanthong, Kuntara & Roll, Richard, 2012. "Internationally correlated jumps," Working Paper Series 1436, European Central Bank.
  48. Dungey, Mardi & McKenzie, Michael & Smith, L. Vanessa, 2009. "Empirical evidence on jumps in the term structure of the US Treasury Market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 430-445, June.
  49. Nekhili, Ramzi & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Dynamic spillover and connectedness in higher moments of European stock sector markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  50. Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Catherine S. Forbes & Gael M. Martin, 2017. "Inference on Self‐Exciting Jumps in Prices and Volatility Using High‐Frequency Measures," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 504-532, April.
  51. David S. Bates, 2016. "How Crashes Develop: Intradaily Volatility and Crash Evolution," NBER Working Papers 22028, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  52. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "The incremental information content of investor fear gauge for volatility forecasting in the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 370-386.
  53. Hung, Jui-Cheng & Liu, Hung-Chun & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2020. "Improving the realized GARCH’s volatility forecast for Bitcoin with jump-robust estimators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  54. Ayadi, Mohamed A. & Ben Omrane, Walid & Das, Deepan Kumar, 2024. "Macroeconomic news, senior officials' speeches, and emerging currency markets: An intraday analysis of price jump reaction," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  55. Dehua Shen & Andrew Urquhart & Pengfei Wang, 2020. "Forecasting the volatility of Bitcoin: The importance of jumps and structural breaks," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1294-1323, November.
  56. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel C.A. & Podolskij, Mark, 2014. "Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 576-599.
  57. Aitor Ciarreta & Peru Muniain & Ainhoa Zarraga, 2020. "Realized volatility and jump testing in the Japanese electricity spot market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1143-1166, March.
  58. Daniela Osterrieder & Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària & J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés, 2015. "Unbalanced Regressions and the Predictive Equation," CREATES Research Papers 2015-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  59. Xu, Weijun & Liu, Guifang & Li, Hongyi, 2016. "A novel jump diffusion model based on SGT distribution and its applications," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 74-92.
  60. Gong, Xu & Wen, Fenghua & Xia, X.H. & Huang, Jianbai & Pan, Bin, 2017. "Investigating the risk-return trade-off for crude oil futures using high-frequency data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 152-161.
  61. Chao YU & Xujie ZHAO, 2021. "Measuring the Jump Risk Contribution under Market Microstructure Noise – Evidence from Chinese Stock Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 32-47, December.
  62. Han, Seung-Oh & Huh, Sahn-Wook & Park, Jeayoung, 2023. "Detecting jumps amidst prevalent zero returns: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury securities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 276-307.
  63. Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Forecasting downside and upside realized volatility: The role of asymmetric information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
  64. Kefu Liao, 2026. "The Role of Price‐Volatility Cojumps in Volatility Forecasting," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 46(5), pages 931-951, May.
  65. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-053 is not listed on IDEAS
  66. Qu, Hui & Duan, Qingling & Niu, Mengyi, 2018. "Modeling the volatility of realized volatility to improve volatility forecasts in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 767-776.
  67. Johnson, James A. & Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Paye, Bradley S., 2022. "Jumps in stock prices: New insights from old data," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  68. Diogo Duarte & Rodolfo Prieto & Marcel Rindisbacher & Yuri F. Saporito, 2022. "Vanishing Contagion Spreads," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 740-772, January.
  69. Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M Martin & Catherine S Forbes, 2018. "Dynamic price jumps: The performance of high frequency tests and measures, and the robustness of inference," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/18, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  70. Srivastava, Pranjal & Jacob, Joshy, 2022. "Arbitrage constraints and behaviour of volatility components: Evidence from a natural experiment," IIMA Working Papers WP 2022-10-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
  71. le Bris, David & Goetzmann, William N. & Pouget, Sébastien, 2019. "The present value relation over six centuries: The case of the Bazacle company," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 248-265.
  72. Piyachart Phiromswad & Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard & Sirimon Treepongkaruna & Sabin Srivannaboon, 2021. "Jumps and Cojumps analyses of major and minor cryptocurrencies," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(2), pages 1-9, February.
  73. Raj, Prakash & Selvaraju, N., 2026. "Bitcoin volatility modeling with realized measures and jump dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
  74. Kuo-Shing Chen & Yu-Chuan Huang, 2021. "Detecting Jump Risk and Jump-Diffusion Model for Bitcoin Options Pricing and Hedging," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(20), pages 1-24, October.
  75. Michal Czerwonko & Stylianos Perrakis, 2016. "Portfolio Selection with Transaction Costs and Jump-Diffusion Asset Dynamics I: A Numerical Solution," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 1-23, December.
  76. Dain C. Donelson & Justin J. Hopkins, 2016. "Large Market Declines and Securities Litigation: Implications for Disclosing Adverse Earnings News," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(11), pages 3183-3198, November.
  77. Fung, Scott & Obaid, Khaled & Tsai, Shih-Chuan, 2024. "Information acquisition and processing skills of institutions and retail investors around information shocks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  78. Michal Czerwonko & Stylianos Perrakis, 2016. "Portfolio Selection with Transaction Costs and Jump-Diffusion Asset Dynamics II: Economic Implications," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 1-28, December.
  79. Dinesh Gajurel & Mardi Dungey & Wenying Yao & Nagaratnam Jeyasreedharan, 2020. "Jump Risk in the US Financial Sector," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(314), pages 331-349, September.
  80. Huang, Alex YiHou, 2016. "Impacts of implied volatility on stock price realized jumps," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 622-630.
  81. Li, Jia & Patton, Andrew J., 2018. "Asymptotic inference about predictive accuracy using high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 223-240.
  82. Frédéric Délèze & Syed Mujahid Hussain, 2014. "Information Arrival, Jumps and Cojumps in European Financial Markets: Evidence Using Tick by Tick Data," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 18(3-4), pages 169-213, September.
  83. Benoît Sévi & César Baena, 2012. "A reassessment of the risk-return tradeoff at the daily horizon," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 190-203.
  84. Nkwoma, Inekwe John, 2017. "Futures-Based Measures Of Monetary Policy And Jump Risk," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 384-405, March.
  85. Kilic, Erdem & Sönmezer, Sitki, 2025. "Does US Monetary Policy Affect Stock Market Behaviour Under Extreme Market Conditions? Evidence from COVID-19," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, vol. 15(3), pages 18-28, April.
  86. Ahn, Yongkil & Tsai, Shih-Chuan, 2021. "What factors are associated with stock price jumps in high frequency?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  87. Evans, Kevin P., 2011. "Intraday jumps and US macroeconomic news announcements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2511-2527, October.
  88. Chen, Wang & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Liu, Jing, 2020. "Forecasting oil price volatility using high-frequency data: New evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-12.
  89. Hung, Jui-Cheng, 2015. "Evaluation of realized multi-power variations in minimum variance hedging," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 672-679.
  90. Bregantini, Daniele, 2013. "Moment-based estimation of stochastic volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 4755-4764.
  91. Da Fonseca, José & Ignatieva, Katja & Ziveyi, Jonathan, 2016. "Explaining credit default swap spreads by means of realized jumps and volatilities in the energy market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 215-228.
  92. Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis, 2022. "What matters when developing oil price volatility forecasting frameworks?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 361-382, March.
  93. Chatrath, Arjun & Miao, Hong & Ramchander, Sanjay & Villupuram, Sriram, 2014. "Currency jumps, cojumps and the role of macro news," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 42-62.
  94. Lin, Sha & Lin, Xuanmeng & He, Xin-Jiang, 2025. "Credit risk identification with Hawkes processes: Theory and evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  95. Daiki Maki & Yasushi Ota, 2020. "The impacts of asymmetry on modeling and forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets," Papers 2006.00158, arXiv.org.
  96. Patton, Andrew J., 2011. "Data-based ranking of realised volatility estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 284-303, April.
  97. Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M. & Huang, Dengshi & Xu, Weiju, 2017. "Forecasting the realized volatility of the oil futures market: A regime switching approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 136-145.
  98. Cantia, Catalin & Tunaru, Radu, 2017. "A factor model for joint default probabilities. Pricing of CDS, index swaps and index tranches," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 21-35.
  99. Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie & Huang, Dengshi & Lai, Xiaodong, 2018. "Forecasting oil futures price volatility: New evidence from realized range-based volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 400-409.
  100. Chen, Yixiang & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Good, bad cojumps and volatility forecasting: New evidence from crude oil and the U.S. stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 52-62.
  101. Walid Ben Omrane & Khaled Guesmi & Qi Qianru & Samir Saadi, 2023. "The high-frequency impact of macroeconomic news on jumps and co-jumps in the cryptocurrency markets," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 330(1), pages 177-209, November.
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