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Do geopolitical events transmit opportunity or threat to green markets? Decomposed measures of geopolitical risks

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  1. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Wu, Tong & Zhong, Huaming & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in nickel price: What roles do geopolitical risk and speculation play?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  2. Aamir Javed & Mahjabeen Usman & Nabila Abid & Agnese Rapposelli, 2025. "Unveiling the impact of geopolitical risk, climate policy uncertainty, environmental policy stringency, and financial efficiency on renewable energy investment in the USA: Evidence from novel dynamic simulated ARDL approach," Post-Print hal-05235793, HAL.
  3. Sohag, Kazi & Karass, Vsevolod & Alam, Khorshed, 2025. "European industrial production in the face of energy dynamics and geopolitical shocks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
  4. Joaqui-Barandica, Orlando & Oviedo-Gómez, Andres & Manotas-Duque, Diego F., 2023. "Directional predictability between interest rates and the Stoxx 600 Banks index: A quantile approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  5. Ha, Le Thanh, 2025. "From wars to dynamic waves: Scrutinizing connectedness between geopolitical risk index, green and non-green crypto volatility by quantile spillovers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 679(C).
  6. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  7. Aktham Maghyereh & Salem Adel Ziadat, 2024. "Pattern and determinants of tail-risk transmission between cryptocurrency markets: new evidence from recent crisis episodes," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-34, December.
  8. Aslam, Adnan & Newaz, Mohammad Khaleq, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and bond market dynamics: Assessing the impact of threats and realized events," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  9. Jianfeng Guo & Kai Zhang & Kecheng Liu, 2022. "Exploring the Mechanism of the Impact of Green Finance and Digital Economy on China’s Green Total Factor Productivity," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-18, December.
  10. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Phoumin, Han & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan, 2023. "Assessment of role of green bond in renewable energy resource development in Japan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  11. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Nasreen, Samia & Gabauer, David, 2024. "The impact of oil shocks on green, clean, and socially responsible markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  12. Liu, Fangying & Qin, Chuan & Qin, Meng & Stefea, Petru & Norena-Chavez, Diego, 2024. "Geopolitical risk: An opportunity or a threat to the green bond market?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  13. Faroque Ahmed & Kazi Sohag, 2025. "Spillover effects of separated oil price shocks on regional financial stress amidst Russia–Ukraine and global geopolitical tensions: a novel GVAR approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(3), pages 593-639, September.
  14. Yagi, Michiyuki & Managi, Shunsuke, 2023. "The spillover effects of rising energy prices following 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 680-695.
  15. Xia, Mingli & Zhu, Guangfeng, 2024. "The importance of intellectual property: Analyzing the impact of resource efficiency improvements in the mineral sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  16. Luca, Giovanni De & Del Gaudio, Belinda Laura & Di Iorio, Anna Pia, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  17. Jiale Lian & Xiaohui Hou, 2024. "Navigating Geopolitical Risks: Deciphering the Greenium and Market Dynamics of Green Bonds in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-23, July.
  18. Kumari, Minu & Sharma, Anil Kumar, 2025. "Unveiling the asymmetry through NARDL approach: Do geopolitical risks impact green bonds?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  19. Sheenan, Lisa, 2023. "Green bonds, conventional bonds and geopolitical risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
  20. Shao, Liuguo & Nong, Hao & Zhang, Hua, 2026. "Analysis of homogeneous and heterogeneous response of clean energy metal prices under geopolitical risk shocks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
  21. Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Dilvin Taşkın, 2026. "Impact of supply chain logistics and green transportation on green economics under green finance, oil price shocks, and geopolitical risk: evidence from the globe via novel quantile methods," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, December.
  22. Shirazi, Masoud, 2025. "Dynamic policy pathfinding for balanced growth of energy trilemma: Evidence from the world's large energy-consuming economies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
  23. Husain, Afzol & Karim, Sitara & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2024. "Financial fusion: Bridging Islamic and Green investments in the European stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  24. Liu, Chao & Xu, Jiahui, 2024. "Risk spillover effects of new global energy listed companies from the time-frequency perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
  25. Shittu, Ibrahim & Saqib, Abdul & Tang, Chor Foon & Chen, You, 2025. "Does global geopolitical risk jeopardize the clean energy transition? New evidence from a global panel," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
  26. Feng, Yanchao & Zhang, Juan & Geng, Yong & Jin, Shurui & Zhu, Ziyi & Liang, Zhou, 2023. "Explaining and modeling the reduction effect of low-carbon energy transition on energy intensity: Empirical evidence from global data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
  27. Sheikh, Umaid A. & Asadi, Mehrad & Roubaud, David & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "Global uncertainties and Australian financial markets: Quantile time-frequency connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  28. Patel, Ritesh & Kumar, Sanjeev & Bouri, Elie & Iqbal, Najaf, 2023. "Spillovers between green and dirty cryptocurrencies and socially responsible investments around the war in Ukraine," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 143-162.
  29. Saadaoui, Jamel & Smyth, Russell & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2025. "Ensuring the security of the clean energy transition: Examining the impact of geopolitical risk on the price of critical minerals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
  30. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Khalid, Ali Awais & Sana, Moniba, 2023. "Conflict vs sustainability of global energy, agricultural and metal markets: A lesson from Ukraine-Russia war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  31. Hille, Erik & Angerpointner, Cian, 2025. "Did geopolitical risks in supplier countries of fossil fuels lead to reduced domestic energy consumption? Evidence from Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
  32. Islam, Md. Monirul & Sohag, Kazi & Mariev, Oleg, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and mineral-driven renewable energy generation in China: A decomposed analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  33. Papavassiliou, Vassilios G., 2025. "On the relationship between geopolitical risks and euro area sovereign bond yields," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  34. Zhang, Jilu & Guxue, Kaicheng, 2024. "Fostering sustainability: Exploring natural resources, mineral resources, and their impact on carbon reduction, economic growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  35. Ben Ameur, Hachmi & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Wael, 2025. "Do ESG investments improve portfolio diversification and risk management during times of uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  36. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
  37. Opoku, Eric Evans Osei & Acheampong, Alex O. & Frempong, Josephine, 2025. "Geopolitical risks, financial system and the energy trilemma," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  38. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wen, Cui-Ping & Liu, Hong-Wen & Liu, Lu, 2023. "Promotion or hindrance? Exploring the bidirectional causality between geopolitical risk and green bonds from an energy perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  39. Zhang, Shaohe & Shinwari, Riazullah & Zhao, Shikuan & Dagestani, Abd Alwahed, 2023. "Energy transition, geopolitical risk, and natural resources extraction: A novel perspective of energy transition and resources extraction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  40. Tao, Miaomiao & Roubaud, David & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Silva, Emilson, 2025. "How do systematic risk spillovers reshape investment outcomes?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  41. Foglia, Matteo & Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Disentangling the geopolitical risk and its effects on commodities. Evidence from a panel of G8 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  42. Gyamerah, Samuel Asante & Agbi-Kaiser, Henry Ofoe & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2024. "Do climate policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk transmit opportunity or threat to the green market? Evidence from non-linear ARDL," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  43. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Volatility connectedness between geopolitical risk and financial markets: Insights from pandemic and military crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
  44. Duc Hong Vo & Tam Hoang‐Nhat Dang, 2024. "The geopolitical risk spillovers across BRICS countries: A quantile frequency connectedness approach," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 71(1), pages 132-143, February.
  45. Lorente, Daniel Balsalobre & Mohammed, Kamel Si & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier & Shahzad, Umer, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness among climate change index, green financial assets and renewable energy markets: Novel evidence from sustainable development perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 94-105.
  46. Faroque Ahmed & Md. Monirul Islam & Shujaat Abbas, 2025. "Assessing the impact of Russian–Ukrainian geopolitical risks on global green finance: a quantile dependency analysis," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 27(4), pages 615-641, October.
  47. Zhao, Xin & Zhai, Guoqing & Nasim, Asma & Ma, Xiaowei, 2025. "Geopolitical risks, trade openness, and energy security: Empirical evidence from 41 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  48. Li, Zhuolun, 2023. "Do geopolitical risk, green finance, and the rule of law affect the sustainable environment in China? Findings from the BARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  49. Hau, Liya & Xue, Wenxin & Liu, Qigui, 2025. "Multiscale information network among fossil energy, renewable energy and ESG investment under the Russo-Ukrainian conflict," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  50. Muhammad Zubair Chishti & Arshian Sharif & Qi Xu & Gagan Deep Sharma, 2024. "Toward sustainable development: Revealing the dynamic impacts of the belt and road initiative on energy transition," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 7069-7095, December.
  51. Wang, Zhuqing & Wang, Xinyu & Cheng, Qiuying & Shi, Song, 2024. "Heterogeneous impact of economic and political uncertainty on green bond volatility: Evidence from the MRS-GARCH-MIDAS-Skewed T model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
  52. Malhotra, Priya & Kumar, Sanjeev & Gubareva, Mariya & Mendes, José Zorro, 2026. "Dynamic nexus of clean energy metals, energy commodities and traditional assets: Multidimensional techniques and portfolio analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  53. Ayman Abdalmajeed Alsmadi & Manaf Al-Okaily & Najed Alrawashdeh & Anwar Al-Gasaymeh & Amer Moh’d Al-hazimeh & Abdulrasheed Zakari, 2023. "A Bibliometric Analysis of Green Bonds and Sustainable Green Energy: Evidence from the Last Fifteen Years (2007–2022)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-16, March.
  54. Chowdhury, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous & Abdullah, Mohammad & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and energy market tail risk forecasting: An explainable machine learning approach," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  55. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Not all are alike: Assessing the effect of geopolitical risk on regional renewable energy development in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
  56. Bai, Shizhen & He, Hao & Han, Chunjia & Yang, Mu & Shang, Wen-Long & Fan, Weijia, 2025. "What is the focus of energy supply chain relationship management during geopolitical risks? Evidence from the stock market based on transaction cost economics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  57. Chen, Zhuoyi & Liu, Yuanyuan & Zhang, Hongwei, 2024. "Can geopolitical risks impact the long-run correlation between crude oil and clean energy markets? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  58. Zouhaier Dhifaoui & Kaies Ncibi & Faicel Gasmi & Abulmajeed Abdallah Alqarni, 2023. "The Nexus between Climate Change and Geopolitical Risk Index in Saudi Arabia Based on the Fourier-Domain Transfer Entropy Spectrum Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-22, September.
  59. Cao, Jie & Zhu, Yingxin & Yin, Zhujia & Li, Jing & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2025. "Resilience of energy market under geopolitical risks: What’s the policy implications?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1706-1724.
  60. Kotsompolis, Giorgos & Prelorentzos, Arsenios-Georgios N. & Xidonas, Panos & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2025. "European financial markets, energy returns and geopolitical risk: A frequency domain spectral analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  61. Cao, Ngan Duong & Trinh, Vu Quang & Nguyen, Tam Duc, 2025. "Geopolitical uncertainty and firm tail risk: Evidence from energy-focused economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  62. Mustafa Almabrouk Abdalla Alfughi & Asil Azimli, 2025. "The Impact of Geopolitical Risk on the Connectedness Dynamics Among Sovereign Bonds," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-36, July.
  63. Pham, Linh & Hsu, Kuang-Chung, 2025. "Metals of the future in a world in crisis: Geopolitical disruptions and the cleantech metal industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  64. Liu, Jiahao & Zhu, Bo & Hu, Xin, 2024. "Systemic risk spillovers among global energy firms: Does geopolitical risk matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  65. Banna, Hasanul & Alam, Ashraful & Chen, Xihui Haviour & Alam, Ahmed W., 2023. "Energy security and economic stability: The role of inflation and war," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  66. Tao, Miaomiao & Poletti, Stephen & Sheng, Mingyue Selena & Wen, Le, 2024. "Nexus between carbon, stock, and energy markets in New Zealand: An analysis of causal domains," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
  67. Xu, Danyang & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Lang, Chunlin, 2024. "Return connectedness of green bonds and financial investment channels in China: Implications for hedging and regulation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
  68. Leila Hedhili Zaier & Khaled Mokni & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2024. "Causality relationships between climate policy uncertainty, renewable energy stocks, and oil prices: a mixed-frequency causality analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
  69. Oubani Ahmed El, 2024. "Quantile connectedness between social network sentiment and sustainability index volatility: Evidence from the Moroccan financial market," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 10(3), pages 163-196.
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  71. Ahmed, Faroque & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Sohag, Kazi & Islam, Md. Monirul & Zeqiraj, Veton, 2024. "Global, local, or glocal? Unravelling the interplay of geopolitical risks and financial stress," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
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  74. Wu, Jie & Zhao, Ruizeng & Sun, Jiasen & Zhou, Xuewei, 2023. "Impact of geopolitical risks on oil price fluctuations: Based on GARCH-MIDAS model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  75. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Salerno, Dario & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2024. "Geopolitical turmoil and investor green preference: Evidence from the corporate bond market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  76. Shao, Liuguo & Cao, Saisha & Zhang, Hua, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on strategic emerging minerals prices: Evidence from MODWT-based Granger causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  77. Hille, Erik, 2023. "Europe's energy crisis: Are geopolitical risks in source countries of fossil fuels accelerating the transition to renewable energy?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
  78. Liu, Fangying & Su, Chi Wei & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "Winner or loser? The bidirectional impact between geopolitical risk and energy transition from the renewable energy perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  79. Md. Monirul Islam & Kazi Sohag & Faheem ur Rehman, 2022. "Do Geopolitical Tensions and Economic Policy Uncertainties Reorient Mineral Imports in the USA? A Fat-Tailed Data Analysis Using Novel Quantile Approaches," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.
  80. Doğan, Buhari & Trabelsi, Nader & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Ghosh, Sudeshna, 2023. "Dynamic dependence and causality between crude oil, green bonds, commodities, geopolitical risks, and policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 36-62.
  81. Srivastava, Mrinalini & Rao, Amar & Parihar, Jaya Singh & Chavriya, Shubham & Singh, Surendar, 2023. "What do the AI methods tell us about predicting price volatility of key natural resources: Evidence from hyperparameter tuning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  82. Abhilash & Sandeep S. Shenoy & Dasharathraj K. Shetty & Lumen Shawn Lobo & Subrahmanya Kumar N., 2023. "Green Bond as an Innovative Financial Instrument in the Indian Financial Market: Insights From Systematic Literature Review Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, June.
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  84. Helmi, Mohamad Husam & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Khalfaoui, Rabeh, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on sustainable markets: A quantile-time-frequency analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  85. Su, Xiaomei & Zhao, Shangmei & Li, Wei & Fan, Wei, 2025. "Geopolitical risk, financial stress and renewable energy transition in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  86. Zadeh, Omid Razavi & Romagnoli, Silvia, 2024. "Financing sustainable energy transition with algorithmic energy tokens," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  87. Nghia Nguyen Trinh & Nghia Dang Nguyen, 2025. "Geopolitical Risk and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) practices of listed companies in Vietnam," HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, vol. 15(5), pages 150-168.
  88. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Sinha, Avik & Zaman, Umer & Shahzad, Umer, 2023. "Exploring the dynamic connectedness among energy transition and its drivers: Understanding the moderating role of global geopolitical risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  89. Lin, Keliang & Ghosh, Sudeshna & Abbas, Shujaat & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ferraz, Diogo & Doğan, Buhari, 2024. "Heterogenous impact of energy security and environmental regulations on energy transition: Exploring the disparity between high-income and middle-income countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PB).
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  92. Su, Xiaomei & Razi, Ummara & Zhao, Shangmei & Li, Wei & Gu, Xiao & Yan, Jiale, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and energy markets in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  93. Shi, Fengyuan & Guo, Yaoqi, 2025. "Differential impact of multiple risks on green and conventional bond markets: Evidence from multifractal analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(PB).
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  95. Mariev, Oleg & Sohag, Kazi & Islam, Md. Monirul, 2026. "Lithium import demand and electric vehicle market growth in Europe: Perspectives on economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical turbulence," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  96. Yan, Xianglin & Piao, Longguo, 2025. "The effect of global geopolitical risks on trade openness," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  97. Su, Chi-Wei & Wu, Ying & Qin, Meng, 2025. "Preserving energy security: Can renewable energy withstand the energy-related uncertainty risk?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).
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