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Do You Know that I Know that You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  2. Helena Antonie Baier & Philipp Lergetporer & Thomas Rittmannsberger, 2025. "Firms’ expectations about skill shortages," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 1095-1112, August.
  3. Grigoli, Francesco & Sandri, Damiano, 2024. "Public debt and household inflation expectations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  4. Michael Weber & Bernardo Candia & Hassan Afrouzi & Tiziano Ropele & Rodrigo Lluberas & Serafin Frache & Brent Meyer & Saten Kumar & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Dimitris Georgarakos & Olivier Coibion & Geoff, 2025. "Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(1), pages 229-264, January.
  5. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
  6. George W. Evans & Christopher G. Gibbs & Bruce McGough, 2025. "A Unified Model of Learning to Forecast," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 17(2), pages 101-133, April.
  7. Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," NBER Working Papers 32754, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Röttger, Joost, 2025. "Make-up strategies with incomplete markets and bounded rationality," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  9. Boumans, Dorine & Gründler, Klaus & Potrafke, Niklas & Ruthardt, Fabian, 2024. "Political leaders and macroeconomic expectations: Evidence from a global survey experiment," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
  10. Anja Sebbesen & Harald Oberhofer, 2024. "The propagation of business expectations within the European Union," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1082-1103, September.
  11. Zhang, Chu & Zhao, Shen, 2023. "The macroeconomic announcement premium and information environment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 55-73.
  12. Hassan Afrouzi & Joel P. Flynn & Choongryul Yang, 2024. "What Can Measured Beliefs Tell Us About Monetary Non-Neutrality?," NBER Working Papers 32541, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert & Trautmann, Stefan & Heinicke, Franziska, 2025. "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about Households and Firms," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
  14. Blesse, Sebastian, 2023. "Do your tax problems make tax evasion seem more justifiable? Evidence from a survey experiment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  15. Cornand, Camille & Hubert, Paul, 2022. "Information frictions across various types of inflation expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  16. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Uncertainty of Firms' Medium-term Outlook during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Discussion papers 22079, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  17. Blesse, Sebastian, 2021. "Are your tax problems an opportunity not to pay taxes? Evidence from a randomized survey experiment," ZEW Discussion Papers 21-040, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  18. Pignataro, Giuseppe & Raggi, Davide & Pancotto, Francesca, 2024. "On the role of fundamentals, private signals, and beauty contests to predict exchange rates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 687-705.
  19. Carola Conces Binder & Rupal Kamdar & Jane M. Ryngaert, 2024. "Partisan Expectations and COVID-Era Inflation," NBER Chapters, in: Inflation in the COVID Era and Beyond, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  20. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
  21. Goldstein, Nathan & Zilberfarb, Ben-Zion, 2021. "Do forecasters really care about consensus?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  22. Zaccaria, Niccolò, 2025. "Overconfidence and Information Aggregation," Discussion Paper 2025-004, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  23. Dräger, Lena & Gründler, Klaus & Potrafke, Niklas, 2025. "Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-739, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
  24. Saten Kumar & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1297-1332, July.
  25. Yang, Choongryul, 2022. "Rational inattention, menu costs, and multi-product firms: Micro evidence and aggregate implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 105-123.
  26. Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2023. "Information frictions among firms and households," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 99-115.
  27. Ayan Bhattacharya, 2022. "Arbitrage from a Bayesian's Perspective," Papers 2211.03244, arXiv.org.
  28. Dibiasi, Andreas & Mikosch, Heiner & Sarferaz, Samad & Steinbach, Armin, 2025. "Fiscal Responses to Monetary Policy: Insights from a Survey of Government Officials," HEC Research Papers Series 1546, HEC Paris.
  29. Andreas Dibiasi & Heiner Mikosch & Samad Sarferaz, 2025. "Uncertainty Shocks, Adjustment Costs, and Firm Beliefs: Evidence from a Representative Survey," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 17(3), pages 36-73, July.
  30. Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Xiao Yin, 2024. "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," NBER Working Papers 32680, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  31. Ingar Haaland & Ole-Andreas Elvik Næss & Ingar K. Haaland, 2023. "Misperceived Returns to Active Investing," CESifo Working Paper Series 10257, CESifo.
  32. Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert J. & Trautmann, Stefan T. & Theurich, Franziska, 2024. "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about households and firms," Discussion Papers 18/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  33. Wu, Jieran, 2022. "Comments on “Sentiments and real business cycles”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  34. Lisa Keding & Marten C. Ritterrath, 2025. "Inventors' Personal Experience of Natural Disasters and Green Innovation," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 380, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
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