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Migration response to an immigration shock: Evidence from Russia's aggression against Ukraine

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  • Zuchowski, David

Abstract

Russia's attacks against Ukraine have triggered massive and unexpected migration movements. In this paper, I examine the impact of the inflow of Ukrainians that resulted from Russia's aggression in 2014 on local migration patterns in Poland. For identification, I use an instrumental variable approach drawing on unique historical data on the forced resettlement of Ukrainians in Poland after World War II. The results show that the regional inflow of immigrants decreases both internal and international out-migration of the Polish population. I provide supportive evidence that the decrease in out-migration is due to the upscaling of local labor markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Zuchowski, David, 2023. "Migration response to an immigration shock: Evidence from Russia's aggression against Ukraine," Ruhr Economic Papers 1039, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:rwirep:281188
    DOI: 10.4419/86788924
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    Cited by:

    1. Mykhailyshyna, Dariia & Zuchowski, David, 2025. "Migration shocks and voting: Evidence from Ukrainian migration to Poland," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1649, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    2. Wang, Yifan & Wang, Chunbei & Holmes, Chanita, 2025. "Evaluating the Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on Women's Labor Market Outcomes: A Synthetic Difference-in-Differences Analysis," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1613, Global Labor Organization (GLO).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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