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A Wavelet Analysis of MENA Stock Markets

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  • Marco Gallegati

    (Department of Economics, Università Politecnica delle Marche)

Abstract

In this paper we revisit the issue of integration of emerging stock markets with each other and with the developed markets over different time horizons using weekly stock indices data from June 1997 until March 2005 of the five major MENA equity markets (Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Morocco and Turkey) and applying the discrete wavelet decomposition analysis. We decompose the weekly stock market returns of the main indices of the MENA countries into different time scale components using the non-decimated discrete wavelet transform and then analyze the time- scale relationship between the stock market indices of some developed areas (SP and Eurostoxx) and those of the MENA countries. The results from wavelet correlation analysis both among MENA stock markets and between these markets and some major stock markets suggests that MENA stock markets are nor regionally nor internationally integrated.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Gallegati, 2005. "A Wavelet Analysis of MENA Stock Markets," Finance 0512027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0512027
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    Cited by:

    1. Marfatia, Hardik A., 2017. "A fresh look at integration of risks in the international stock markets: A wavelet approach," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 33-49.
    2. el Alaoui, Abdelkader O. & Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Azhar Rosly, Saiful & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Linkages and co-movement between international stock market returns: Case of Dow Jones Islamic Dubai Financial Market index," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 53-70.
    3. Mansourfar, Gholamreza & Mohamad, Shamsher & Hassan, Taufiq, 2010. "The behavior of MENA oil and non-oil producing countries in international portfolio optimization," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 415-423, November.
    4. Silvo Dajčman, 2013. "Interdependence Between Some Major European Stock Markets - A Wavelet Lead/Lag Analysis," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(1), pages 28-49.
    5. Cifter, Atilla & Ozun, Alper, 2007. "Multi-scale Causality between Energy Consumption and GNP in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Turkey," MPRA Paper 2483, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Benhmad, François, 2013. "Bull or bear markets: A wavelet dynamic correlation perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 576-591.
    7. Cifter Atilla & Ozun Alper, 2008. "Estimating the Effects of Interest Rates on Share Prices in Turkey Using a Multi-Scale Causality Test," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 68-79, April.
    8. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2012. "Decomposing Time-Frequency Relationship between Interest Rates and Share Prices in India through Wavelets," MPRA Paper 39693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Ahmad, Nasir & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Dependence dynamics of stock markets during COVID-19," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    10. Anindya Chakrabarty & Anupam De & Gautam Bandyopadhyay, 2015. "A Wavelet-based MRA-EDCC-GARCH Methodology for the Detection of News and Volatility Spillover across Sectoral Indices—Evidence from the Indian Financial Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(1), pages 35-49, February.
    11. Alkulaib, Yaser A. & Najand, Mohammad & Mashayekh, Ahmad, 2009. "Dynamic linkages among equity markets in the Middle East and North African countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 43-53, February.
    12. Gourène, Grakolet Arnold Zamereith & Mendy, Pierre & Ake N'gbo, Gilbert Marie, 2017. "Multiple time-xcales analysis of global stock markets spillovers effects in African stock markets," MPRA Paper 77632, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Bacha, Obiyathulla Ismath & Masih, A. Mansur M. & Masih, Rumi, 2015. "Risk-return characteristics of Islamic equity indices: Multi-timescales analysis," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 115-138.
    14. A. Khalifa & S. Hammoudeh & E. Otranto, 2012. "Volatility Spillover, Interdependence, Comovements across GCC, Oil and U.S. Markets and Portfolio Management Strategies in a Regime-Changing Environment," Working Paper CRENoS 201209, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    15. Jia, Xiaoliang & An, Haizhong & Fang, Wei & Sun, Xiaoqi & Huang, Xuan, 2015. "How do correlations of crude oil prices co-move? A grey correlation-based wavelet perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 588-598.
    16. Adil Yilmaz & Gazanfer Unal, 2016. "Co-movement analysis of Asian stock markets against FTSE100 and S&P 500: Wavelet-based approach," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(04), pages 1-19, December.
    17. Gourène, Grakolet Arnold Zamereith & Mendy, Pierre, 2014. "Beginning an African Stock Markets Integration? A Wavelet Analysis," MPRA Paper 76048, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "A fresh look at integration of risks in the international stock markets: A wavelet approach," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 33-49, September.
    19. Selcuk Bayraci & Sercan Demiralay & Hatice Gaye Gencer, 2018. "Stock†Bond Co†Movements And Flight†To†Quality In G7 Countries: A Time†Frequency Analysis," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 29-49, January.
    20. Mensi, Walid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Zeitun, Rami & Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2017. "Diversification potential of Asian frontier, BRIC emerging and major developed stock markets: A wavelet-based value at risk approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 130-147.
    21. Yilmaz, Adil & Unal, Gazanfer & Karatasoglu, Cengiz, 2016. "Wavelet Based Analysis Of Major Real Estate Markets," MPRA Paper 74083, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Aloui, Chaker & Hkiri, Besma, 2014. "Co-movements of GCC emerging stock markets: New evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 421-431.
    23. Masih, Mansur & Alzahrani, Mohammed & Al-Titi, Omar, 2010. "Systematic risk and time scales: New evidence from an application of wavelet approach to the emerging Gulf stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 10-18, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock market returns; comovements; wavelet correlation analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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