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Wavelet Based Analysis Of Major Real Estate Markets

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  • Yilmaz, Adil
  • Unal, Gazanfer
  • Karatasoglu, Cengiz

Abstract

Wavelet coherence of time series provide valuable information about dynamic correlation and its impact on time scales. Here, we analyze the wavelet coherence of major real estate markets data. Our paper is the first to link co-movement in terms of wavelet coherence. Here we consider USA, Canada, Japan, China and Developed Europe real estate market prices as time series.Wavelet coherence results reveal interconnected relationships between these markets and how these relationships vary in the time-frequency space. These relationships allow us to build VARMA models of real estate data which yield forecast results with small errors.

Suggested Citation

  • Yilmaz, Adil & Unal, Gazanfer & Karatasoglu, Cengiz, 2016. "Wavelet Based Analysis Of Major Real Estate Markets," MPRA Paper 74083, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:74083
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Azevedo, Nuno & Soares, Maria Joana, 2008. "Using wavelets to decompose the time–frequency effects of monetary policy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(12), pages 2863-2878.
    6. Athanasopoulos, George & Vahid, Farshid, 2008. "VARMA versus VAR for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 237-252, April.
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    8. Jozef BARUNÍK & Lukáš VÁCHA, 2013. "Contagion among Central and Eastern European Stock Markets during the Financial Crisis," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(5), pages 443-453, November.
    9. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2012. "Decomposing Time-Frequency Relationship between Interest Rates and Share Prices in India through Wavelets," MPRA Paper 39693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mustafa Gülerce & Gazanfer Ünal, 2017. "Forecasting Of Oil And Agricultural Commodity Prices: Varma Versus Arma," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(03), pages 1-30, September.
    2. Cengiz KARATAS & Gazanfer UNAL & Adil YILMAZ, 2017. "Co-movement and Forecasting Analysis of Major Real Estate Markets by Wavelet Coherence and Multiple Wavelet Coherence," Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies (CJUES), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(02), pages 1-18, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real Estate Markets; REIT; Co-movement; Wavelet Coherence; Varma;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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