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Driving Forces of Arable Land Conversion in China


  • L. Sun
  • X. Li


This paper examines the major driving forces behind the conversion of arable land to non-agricultural uses in china during the reform years (1978-1995). Both graphic techniques, based on a Geographic Information System (GIS), and an econometric modeling approach are employed. It is found that industrialization and land losses due lo land degradation have played an equally important role in reducing the gross quantity of arable land. The findings suggest that strengthening protection measures for arable land against natural hazards will significantly contribute to maintaining the gross scale of arable land. In order to save high-quality farmland it is necessary to increase the intensity of non-agricultural land uses through both economic incentives and administrative measures.

Suggested Citation

  • L. Sun & X. Li, 1997. "Driving Forces of Arable Land Conversion in China," Working Papers ir97076, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
  • Handle: RePEc:wop:iasawp:ir97076

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Jikun Huang & Scott Rozelle, 1995. "Environmental Stress and Grain Yields in China," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 77(4), pages 853-864.
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    Cited by:

    1. K. Hubacek & L. Sun, 1999. "Land Use Change in China: A Scenario Analysis Based on Input- Output Modeling," Working Papers ir99073, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
    2. A. Brismar, 1999. "Environmental Challenges and Impacts of Land-Use Conversion in the Yellow River Basin," Working Papers ir99016, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
    3. Hubacek, Klaus & Sun, Laixiang, 2001. "A scenario analysis of China's land use and land cover change: incorporating biophysical information into input-output modeling," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 367-397, December.
    4. G. Fischer & Y. Chen & L. Sun, 1998. "The Balance of Cultivated Land in China during 1988-1995," Working Papers ir98047, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

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