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Model uncertainty and systematic risk in US banking

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  • Baele, L.T.M.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

  • De Bruyckere, Valerie
  • De Jonghe, O.G.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

  • Vander Vennet, Rudi

Abstract

This paper uses Bayesian Model Averaging to examine the driving factors of equity returns of US Bank Holding Companies. BMA has as an advantage over OLS that it accounts for the considerable uncertainty about the correct set (model) of bank risk factors. We find that out of a broad set of 12risk factors only the market, real estate, and high-minus-low Fama–French factors are reliably related to US bank stock returns over the period 1986–2010. Other factors are either only relevant over specific subperiods or for subsets of bank holding companies. We discuss the implications of our findings for empirical banking research.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

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  • Baele, L.T.M. & De Bruyckere, Valerie & De Jonghe, O.G. & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2015. "Model uncertainty and systematic risk in US banking," Other publications TiSEM 64ca79ee-d480-4d66-a8b6-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutis:64ca79ee-d480-4d66-a8b6-aa9d6c5bfc1a
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance

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