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The direct and indirect effects of oil shocks on energy related stocks

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  • David C Broadstock

    (TIERS, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China and Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey, UK.)

  • Rui Wang

    (TIERS, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China)

  • Dayong Zhang

    (TIERS, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China)

Abstract

We attempt to consolidate (at least in part) the vast literature on oil shocks and stock returns by decomposing the influence of oil shocks into two channels of effect: ‘direct’ and ‘indirect’. Using a simple empirical asset pricing model it is shown that oil shocks can affect stocks not only directly, but also indirectly through general market risk (which is shown to be due in part to oil shocks), or put another way that additional oil price risk exposure is embedded in the traditional market beta. As far as is known, this is the first paper explicitly quantifying both effects together. By doing so we offer a more complete picture of when and how oil shocks impact stock returns, thus allowing investors to make more informed responses to oil shocks. The results are illustrated using daily data from all (active) listed energy related stock portfolios in the Asia Pacific Region, and are robust to structural instability and the specification of oil-shock used.

Suggested Citation

  • David C Broadstock & Rui Wang & Dayong Zhang, 2014. "The direct and indirect effects of oil shocks on energy related stocks," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 146, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    • Handle: RePEc:sur:seedps:146
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    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Ndako, Umar B., 2019. "A sectoral analysis of asymmetric nexus between oil price and stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 241-259.
    4. Liu, Donghui & Meng, Lingjie & Wang, Yudong, 2020. "Oil price shocks and Chinese economy revisited: New evidence from SVAR model with sign restrictions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 20-32.
    5. Shi, Xunpeng & Sun, Sizhong, 2017. "Energy price, regulatory price distortion and economic growth: A case study of China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 261-271.
    6. Dayong ZHANG & David C. Broadstock, 2014. "Impact of International Oil Price Shocks on Consumption Expenditures in ASEAN and East Asia," Working Papers DP-2014-24, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    7. Ma, Yan-Ran & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang & Pan, Jiaofeng, 2019. "Spillovers between oil and stock returns in the US energy sector: Does idiosyncratic information matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 536-544.
    8. Fukunari KIMURA & Han PHOUMIN, . "Energy Market Integration in EAST Asia: Energy Trade, Cross Border Electricity, and Price Mechanism," Books, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number 2013-rpr-29 edited by Fukunari KIMURA & Han PHOUMIN, July.
    9. Stavros Degiannakis, George Filis, and Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
    10. Dai, Zhifeng & Tang, Rui & Zhang, Xiaotong, 2023. "A new multilayer network for measuring interconnectedness among the energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    11. Gaolu Zou, 2017. "Trend Changes in Stock Prices of Petrochemical Firms in the A-Share Market, China," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 3(8), pages 149-156, 08-2017.
    12. Zhang, Dayong & Broadstock, David C. & Cao, Hong, 2014. "International oil shocks and household consumption in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 146-156.
    13. Mei-Mei Xue & Gang Wu & Qian Wang & Yun-Fei Yao & Qiao-Mei Liang, 2019. "Socioeconomic impacts of a shortage in imported oil supply: case of China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(3), pages 1415-1430, December.
    14. G. L. Zou, 2019. "A Study on the Integrated Property of A Chinese Petroleum Firm Stock Prices," Sumerianz Journal of Business Management and Marketing, Sumerianz Publication, vol. 2(1), pages 15-18, 01-2019.
    15. Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Systemic risk and financial contagion across top global energy companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    16. Gu, Fu & Wang, Jiqiang & Guo, Jianfeng & Fan, Ying, 2020. "Dynamic linkages between international oil price, plastic stock index and recycle plastic markets in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 167-179.
    17. Wang, Delu & Ma, Gang & Song, Xuefeng & Liu, Yun, 2017. "Energy price slump and policy response in the coal-chemical industry district: A case study of Ordos with a system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 325-339.
    18. repec:era:chaptr:2013-rpr-29-13 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Zhang, Dayong, 2017. "Oil shocks and stock markets revisited: Measuring connectedness from a global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 323-333.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Prices; Energy Related Stocks; Threshold GARCH; Asset Pricing; Structural Break.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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