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Direct and indirect oil shocks and their impacts upon energy related stocks

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  • Broadstock, David C.
  • Wang, Rui
  • Zhang, Dayong

Abstract

We attempt to consolidate (at least in part) the vast literature on oil shocks and stock returns by decomposing the influence of oil shocks into two channels of effect: ‘direct’ and ‘indirect’. Using a simple empirical asset pricing model, it is shown that oil shocks can affect stocks not only directly, but also indirectly through general market risk (which is shown to be due in part to oil shocks), or put another way that additional oil price risk exposure is embedded in the traditional market beta. As far as is known this is the first paper explicitly quantifying both effects together. By doing so we offer a more complete picture of when and how oil shocks impact stock returns, thus allowing investors to make more informed responses to oil shocks. The results are illustrated using daily data from all (active) listed energy related stock portfolios in the Asia Pacific Region, and are robust to structural instability and the specification of oil shock used.

Suggested Citation

  • Broadstock, David C. & Wang, Rui & Zhang, Dayong, 2014. "Direct and indirect oil shocks and their impacts upon energy related stocks," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 451-467.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:38:y:2014:i:3:p:451-467
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2014.02.002
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:eee:eneeco:v:63:y:2017:i:c:p:261-271 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Fukunari KIMURA & Han PHOUMIN, . "Energy Market Integration in EAST Asia: Energy Trade, Cross Border Electricity, and Price Mechanism," Books, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number 2013-rpr-29 edited by Fukunari KIMURA & Han PHOUMIN.
    3. repec:arp:ijefrr:2017:p:149-156 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:sum:sjbmms:2019:p:15-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Stavros Degiannakis, George Filis, and Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
    6. Wang, Delu & Ma, Gang & Song, Xuefeng & Liu, Yun, 2017. "Energy price slump and policy response in the coal-chemical industry district: A case study of Ordos with a system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 325-339.
    7. Dayong ZHANG & David C. Broadstock, 2014. "Impact of International Oil Price Shocks on Consumption Expenditures in ASEAN and East Asia," Working Papers DP-2014-24, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    8. Zhang, Dayong & Broadstock, David C. & Cao, Hong, 2014. "International oil shocks and household consumption in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 146-156.
    9. repec:eee:phsmap:v:517:y:2019:i:c:p:86-96 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Zhang, Dayong, 2017. "Oil shocks and stock markets revisited: Measuring connectedness from a global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 323-333.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil prices; Energy related stocks; Threshold GARCH; Asset pricing; Structural break;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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