IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/prodsw/0601.html

Armington Elasticities and Terms of Trade Effects in Global CGE Models

Author

Listed:
  • Xiao-guang Zhang

    (Productivity Commission)

Abstract

A Productivity Commission Staff Working Paper, Armington Elasticities and Terms of Trade Effects in Global CGE Models by Xiao-guang Zhang was released on 8 February 2006, in conjunction with the staff working paper, The Armington Model. Armington elasticities specify the degrees of substitution in demand between similar products produced in different countries. They are critical parameters which, along with model structure, data and other parameters, determine the results of policy experiments. Especially when many tariffs are small, trade liberalisation simulations can produce positive or negative welfare outcomes depending on the values assumed for Armington elasticities. The Commission developed a research program on the role of Armington elasticities in quantitative models that are commonly used to analyse trade issues. The research program was designed to improve the effectiveness of models used in analysing various options for unilateral, bilateral and multilateral liberalisation. The purpose of this paper is to illustrate the effects of the Armington assumption on one of the main factors that affects welfare outcomes, namely, the terms of trade. In publishing its research in this area, the Commission hopes to clarify issues that arise as single-country and global trade models are increasingly used to assess the potential impacts of various types of trade liberalisation. The views expressed in this paper are those of the staff involved and do not necessarily reflect those of the Productivity Commission.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiao-guang Zhang, 2006. "Armington Elasticities and Terms of Trade Effects in Global CGE Models," Staff Working Papers 0601, Productivity Commission, Government of Australia.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:prodsw:0601
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.pc.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0014/60404/armingtonelasticities.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.pc.gov.au/research/staffworkingpaper/armingtonelasticities
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hertel, Thomas & Hummels, David & Ivanic, Maros & Keeney, Roman, 2007. "How confident can we be of CGE-based assessments of Free Trade Agreements?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 611-635, July.
    2. McDaniel, Christine A. & Balistreri, Edward J., 2002. "A Discussion on Armington Trade Substitution Elasticities," Working Papers 15856, United States International Trade Commission, Office of Economics.
    3. Hertel, Thomas & Hummels, David & Ivanic, Maros & Keeney, Roman, 2007. "How confident can we be of CGE-based assessments of Free Trade Agreements?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 611-635, July.
    4. Shoven,John B. & Whalley,John, 1992. "Applying General Equilibrium," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521266550, November.
    5. Brown, Drusilla K., 1987. "Tariffs, the terms of trade, and national product differentiation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 503-526.
    6. Bhattarai, Keshab & Ghosh, Madanmohan & Whalley, John, 1999. "On some properties of a trade closure widely used in numerical modelling," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(1), pages 13-21, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Minghao & Balistreri, Edward J. & Zhang, Wendong, 2020. "The U.S.–China trade war: Tariff data and general equilibrium analysis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    2. Arief Anshory Yusuf, 2008. "INDONESIA-E3: An Indonesian Applied General Equilibrium Model for Analyzing the Economy, Equity, and the Environment," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200804, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Sep 2008.
    3. Bouet, Antoine, 2009. "The Expected Benefits of Trade Liberalization for World Income and Development: Opening the "Black Box" of Global Trade Modeling," Food Policy Reviews 53871, CGIAR, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Michael Plummer & Frank Harrigan & Fan Zhai & Patrick Messerlin, 2006. "The Doha Development Agenda: Asian Challenges and Prospects after the Ministerial Meeting in Hong Kong, China," Working Papers hal-03462128, HAL.
    5. repec:dar:wpaper:35491 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. McCleery, Robert & DePaolis, Fernando, 2014. "So you want to build a trade model? Available resources and critical choices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 199-207.
    7. Willenbockel, Dirk, 2004. "Specification choice and robustness in CGE trade policy analysis with imperfect competition," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 1065-1099, December.
    8. Michael Plummer & Frank Harrigan & Fan Zhai & Patrick Messerlin, 2006. "The Doha Development Agenda: Asian Challenges and Prospects after the Ministerial Meeting in Hong Kong, China," SciencePo Working papers hal-03462128, HAL.
    9. Axel Borrmann & Matthias Busse & Manuel De La Rocha, 2007. "Consequences of Economic Partnership Agreements between East and Southern African Countries and the EU for Inter- and Intra-regional Integration," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 233-253.
    10. Jose Tongzon, 2001. "China's membership in the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the exports of the developing economies of East Asia: a computable general equilibrium approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(15), pages 1943-1959.
    11. Arjan Lejour & Paul Veenendaal & Gerard Verweij & Nico van Leeuwen, 2006. "Worldscan; a model for international economic policy analysis," CPB Document 111.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    12. Mario Holzner, 2004. "GSIM Measurement of the Costs of Protection in Southeast Europe," wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 55, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    13. Kuo‐I CHANG & Kazunobu HAYAKAWA, 2010. "Border Barriers In Agricultural Trade And The Impact Of Their Elimination: Evidence From East Asia," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 48(2), pages 232-246, June.
    14. Johannes Ziesmer & Ding Jin & Sneha D Thube & Christian Henning, 2023. "A Dynamic Baseline Calibration Procedure for CGE models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1331-1368, April.
    15. Kym Anderson & Ernesto Valenzuela, 2007. "Do Global Trade Distortions Still Harm Developing Country Farmers?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 143(1), pages 108-139, April.
    16. Dan Ciuriak, 2015. "The Canada-Korea Free Trade Agreement: What it Means for Canada," e-briefs 202, C.D. Howe Institute.
    17. Winchester Niven & Paltsev Sergey & Reilly John M, 2011. "Will Border Carbon Adjustments Work?," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, January.
    18. Bouë & t, Antoine, 2006. "What can the poor expect from trade liberalization? opening the "black box" of trade modeling," MTID discussion papers 93, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    19. Minghao Li & Edward J. Balistreri & Wendong Zhang, 2018. "The 2018 Trade War: Data and Nascent General Equilibrium Analysis," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 18-wp587, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    20. Hertel, Thomas, 2013. "Global Applied General Equilibrium Analysis Using the Global Trade Analysis Project Framework," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 815-876, Elsevier.
    21. Devarajan,Shantayanan & Go,Delfin Sia & Robinson,Sherman, 2023. "Trade Elasticities in Aggregate Models : Estimates for 191 Countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10490, The World Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F - International Economics
    • Z - Other Special Topics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:prodsw:0601. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MAPS (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/pcgovau.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.