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Greenfield Foreign Direct Investment: Social Learning drives Persistence

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  • Ng, Joe Cho Yiu
  • Chan, Chao Hung
  • Tsang, Byron Kwok Ping
  • Leung, Charles Ka Yui

Abstract

This paper argues that the persistence of greenfield foreign direct investment (FDI) comes from information frictions. First, our simple social learning model shows that, through signaling effects, information frictions generate persistent greenfield FDI inflows. Second, we show empirically that the autoregressive coefficient of greenfield FDI increases in value with different proxies for information frictions, including six institutional and governance indicators and two common language measures. We also find that greenfield FDI persistence varies across industries. In particular, greenfield FDI by service firms is more persistent than that by manufacturing firms. Finally, our findings suggest that better governance, predictability, and transparency reduce information frictions and thereby avoiding drastic and persistent ups and downs in FDI.

Suggested Citation

  • Ng, Joe Cho Yiu & Chan, Chao Hung & Tsang, Byron Kwok Ping & Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2022. "Greenfield Foreign Direct Investment: Social Learning drives Persistence," MPRA Paper 112448, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:112448
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    1. Tan, Man & Yang, Dengyu & Yang, Qijing, 2023. "Institutional quality, asset specificity, and foreign direct investment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Greenfield FDI; persistence; information; social learning;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • D23 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Organizational Behavior; Transaction Costs; Property Rights
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business

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