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How Substitutable Are Workers? Evidence from Worker Deaths

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  • Jäger, Simon
  • Heining, Jörg

Abstract

To assess the substitutability between workers within a firm, and between incumbent workers and outsiders, we estimate how exogenous worker exits affect a firm’s demand for incumbent workers and new hires. Using matched employer-employee data from Germany, we analyze the effects of 34,000 unexpected worker deaths and show that these worker exits on average raise the remaining workers’ wages and retention probabilities for a period of several years. The average effect masks substantial heterogeneity: Coworkers in the same occupation as the deceased see positive wage effects; coworkers in other occupations instead experience wage decreases when a high-skilled worker or manager dies. Finally, when the external labor market in the deceased’s occupation is thin, incumbents’ wages respond more and external hiring responds less to a worker death. Taken together, our findings imply that incumbent workers are closer substitutes to one another compared to outsiders, that high-skilled workers and managers are complements to coworkers in other occupations, and that thin external markets for skills lead to higher firm-specificity of human capital and lower replaceability of incumbents.

Suggested Citation

  • Jäger, Simon & Heining, Jörg, 2019. "How Substitutable Are Workers? Evidence from Worker Deaths," MPRA Paper 109757, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Jan 2019.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:109757
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    Keywords

    Worker; Firm; Germany;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J0 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General

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