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Examining the decoupling hypothesis for India

Author

Listed:
  • Jayaram, Shruthi

    (National Institute of Public Finance and Policy)

  • Patnaik, Ila

    (National Institute of Public Finance and Policy)

  • Shah, Ajay

    (National Institute of Public Finance and Policy)

Abstract

This paper examines the decoupling hypothesis for India. We analyse business cycle synchronisation between India and a set of industrial economies, particularly the United States, over the period 1992 to 2008. The evidence suggests that the Indian business cycle exhibits increasing co-movement with business cycles in industrial economies over this period. Indian business cycle synchronisation is stronger with industrial countries as a whole as opposed to the co-movement found with the US.

Suggested Citation

  • Jayaram, Shruthi & Patnaik, Ila & Shah, Ajay, 2009. "Examining the decoupling hypothesis for India," Working Papers 09/61, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:npf:wpaper:09/61
    Note: Working Paper 61, 2009
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Patnaik, Ila & Pundit, Madhavi, 2014. "Is India's Long-Term Trend Growth Declining?," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 424, Asian Development Bank.
    2. Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Pandey, Radhika & Patnaik, Ila & Shah, Ajay, 2016. "Seasonal adjustment of Indian macroeconomic time-series," Working Papers 16/160, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    3. Patnaik, Ila & Pundit, Madhavi, 2016. "Where is India's Growth Headed?," Working Papers 16/159, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    4. Ila Patnaik, 2016. "Where is India’s Growth Headed?," Working Papers id:8436, eSocialSciences.
    5. Ghate, Chetan & Pandey, Radhika & Patnaik, Ila, 2011. "Has India emerged? Business cycle facts from a transitioning economy," Working Papers 11/88, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    6. Sumanpreet Kaur, 2019. "Business Cycle Synchronization for India: An Appraisal via Trade Intensity," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 22(72), pages 78-101, June.
    7. Dilip Nachane & Amlendu Kumar Dubey, 2013. "Trend and cyclical decoupling: new estimates based on spectral causality tests and wavelet correlations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(31), pages 4419-4428, November.
    8. Dilip Nachane & Amlendu Dubey, 2018. "India in the globalized economy : Growth spillovers & business cycle synchronization," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 89-115, January.
    9. Raj Rajesh, 2017. "Output Synchronization of the Indian Economy in the Post-reform Period," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 52(2), pages 63-89, May.
    10. Dilip M. Nachane & Amlendu Dubey, 2019. "The Spectral envelope: An Application to the decoupling problem in economics," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-022, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    11. Radhika Pandey & Ila Patnaik & Ajay Shah, 2019. "Business Cycle Measurement in India," Societies and Political Orders in Transition, in: Sergey Smirnov & Ataman Ozyildirim & Paulo Picchetti (ed.), Business Cycles in BRICS, pages 121-152, Springer.
    12. Dilip M. Nachane & Amlendu Dubey, 2021. "The Spectral Envelope: An Application to the Decoupling Problem in Economics," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 287-308, December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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