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Business Cycle Measurement in India

Author

Listed:
  • Pandey, Radhika

    (National Institute of Public Finance and Policy)

  • Patnaik, Ila

    (National Institute of Public Finance and Policy)

  • Shah, Ajay

    (National Institute of Public Finance and Policy)

Abstract

This paper presents the business cycle chronology for the Indian economy. Two distinct phases are analysed. The pre-1991 period when the cycles were mainly driven by monsoon shocks. The post 1991 phase where we see the emergence of conventional business cycles driven by investment-inventory fluctuations. The paper sheds light on the economic conditions that shaped the nature of cycles in the two phases. The concluding section of the paper presents an overview of the economic conditions post 2012.

Suggested Citation

  • Pandey, Radhika & Patnaik, Ila & Shah, Ajay, 2018. "Business Cycle Measurement in India," Working Papers 18/221, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:npf:wpaper:18/221
    Note: Working Paper 221, 2018
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    File URL: http://www.nipfp.org.in/media/medialibrary/2018/04/WP_221.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Ritabrata Bose & Ashima Goyal, 2020. "Disaggregated Indian industrial cycles: A Spectral analysis," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2020-033, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    2. Sampriti Das & Amiya Sarma, 2021. "Growth Behaviour of India’s Export of Services, 1975–2018," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 56(3), pages 301-321, August.
    3. Rahul MENON, 2021. "Determinants of inequality in Indian regular wage employment, 1993–2012," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 160(3), pages 477-500, September.
    4. Ghei, Dhananjay & Sane, Renuka, 2018. "Estimates of air pollution in Delhi from the burning of firecrackers during the festival of Diwali," Working Papers 18/223, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    5. Pandey, Radhika & Patnaik, Ila & Shah, Ajay, 2019. "Measuring business cycle conditions in India," Working Papers 19/269, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.

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