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Do Business Cycles Have Long-Term Impact for Particular Cohorts?


  • Andersen, Torben M.

    () (Aarhus University)

  • Maibom, Jonas

    () (Aarhus University)

  • Svarer, Michael

    () (Aarhus University)

  • Sørensen, Allan

    () (Aarhus University)


Will the current employment crisis produce lost generations with permanently lower labour market attachment? Taking an explicit cohort perspective and based on Danish data we do not find strong persistence in employment rates at the cohort level. Younger workers tend to be more exposed to business cycle fluctuations than older workers, but importantly they recover more quickly from such set-backs than older workers for whom persistence is stronger. Moreover, no cohorts have been disproportionately affected by exposure to a sequence of adverse shocks. An explicit account of overlapping cohorts is shown to affect assessments of persistence in aggregate employment rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Andersen, Torben M. & Maibom, Jonas & Svarer, Michael & Sørensen, Allan, 2013. "Do Business Cycles Have Long-Term Impact for Particular Cohorts?," IZA Discussion Papers 7817, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp7817

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    More about this item


    persistence; lost generations; employment;

    JEL classification:

    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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