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Armenia: An Assessment of the Real Exchange Rate and Competitiveness

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  • Miss Anke Weber
  • Ms. Chunfang Yang

Abstract

This paper uses a range of different methodologies to estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate in Armenia with both single-country and panel estimation techniques. We estimate a country specific autoregressive distributed lag model and then proceed with the estimation of a cointegrated panel consisting of transition economies in Europe and Central Asia. This addresses cross section dependence by using common correlated effects estimators. While our analysis focuses on Armenia, the methods are applicable to a large number of transition economies, and the paper thus provides an overview of methods that can be used to assess a country’s equilibrium exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Miss Anke Weber & Ms. Chunfang Yang, 2011. "Armenia: An Assessment of the Real Exchange Rate and Competitiveness," IMF Working Papers 2011/020, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/020
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    1. Ojeda Joya, Jair & Torres, Jhon Edwar, 2012. "Posición externa de largo plazo y tipo de cambio real de equilibrio en Colombia," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, October.
    2. Gor A. Khachatryan & Aleksandr Grigoryan, 2020. "Export Growth Dynamics and Real Exchange Rate: Evidence from Armenia," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 493-509, July.
    3. Gevorkyan, Aleksandr V., 2015. "The legends of the Caucasus: Economic transformation of Armenia and Georgia," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 1009-1024.
    4. Falkowski Krzysztof, 2017. "Long-Term Comparative Advantages of the Eurasian Economic Union Member States in International Trade," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 53(4), pages 27-49, December.

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