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Firm survival, uncertainty and Financial frictions: Is there a Financial uncertainty accelerator?

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  • Joseph P. Byrne
  • Marina-Eliza Spaliara
  • Serafeim Tsoukas

Abstract

Using a large panel of unquoted UK firms over the period 2000-09, we examine the impact of firm-specific uncertainty on corporate failures. In this context we also distinguish between firms which are likely to be more or less dependent on bank finance as well as public and non-public companies. Our results document a significant effect of uncertainty on firm survival. This link is found to be more potent during the recent financial crisis compared with tranquil periods. We also uncover significant firm-level heterogeneity since the survival chances of bank-dependent and non-public firms are most affected by changes in uncertainty, especially during the recent global financial crisis.

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  • Joseph P. Byrne & Marina-Eliza Spaliara & Serafeim Tsoukas, 2015. "Firm survival, uncertainty and Financial frictions: Is there a Financial uncertainty accelerator?," Heriot-Watt University Economics Discussion Papers 1506, Department of Economics, School of Management and Languages, Heriot Watt University.
  • Handle: RePEc:hwe:hwuedp:1506
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    3. Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2020. "Systemic risk, economic policy uncertainty and firm bankruptcies: Evidence from multivariate causal inference," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    4. Lampón, Jesús F., 2019. "Relocation in conditions of uncertainty: the Spanish automobile components industry during the economic crisis (2008-2012)," MPRA Paper 92738, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Myriam Ben Ayed & Adel Karaa & Jean‐Luc Prigent, 2018. "Duration Models For Credit Rating Migration: Evidence From The Financial Crisis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(3), pages 1870-1886, July.
    6. Iwasaki, Ichiro & Kim, Byung-Yeon, 2018. "Firm Failure in Russia during Economic Crises and Growth : A Large Survival Analysis," RRC Working Paper Series 76, Russian Research Center, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    7. Ichiro Iwasaki & Byung-Yeon Kim, 2020. "Legal forms, organizational architecture, and firm failure: a large survival analysis of Russian corporations," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 227-275, April.
    8. Bernal, Oscar & Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Guilmin, Grégory, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and risk spillovers in the Eurozone," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 24-45.
    9. Stefani, Gianluca & Gadanakis, Yiorgos & Lombardi, Ginevra Virginia & Tiberti, Marco, 2017. "The impact of financial leverage on farms capacity to react in market shocks," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261156, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    10. Jesús F. Lampón, 2020. "The impact of uncertainty on production relocation: Implications from a regional perspective," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 99(3), pages 427-446, June.
    11. Mr. Serhan Cevik & Fedor Miryugin, 2019. "Death and Taxes: Does Taxation Matter for Firm Survival?," IMF Working Papers 2019/078, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Ichiro Iwasaki & Byung-Yeon Kim, 2020. "Legal forms, organizational architecture, and firm failure: a large survival analysis of Russian corporations," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 227-275, April.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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