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Productivity change in Polish agriculture : an application of a bootstrap procedure to Malmquist indices

Author

Listed:
  • Kelvin Balcombe

    (Wye College)

  • Sophia Davidova

    (Wye College)

  • Laure Latruffe

    () (Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

Abstract

Les indices de Malmquist d'évolution de productivité, calculés avec la méthode DEA, sont corrigés de leur biais et sont encadrés par des intervalles de confiance, grâce à une procédure de bootstrapping. L'application est faite à l'agriculture polonaise pendant une période cruciale pour le pays, lors de sa transition vers une économie de marché et pendant les préparations à l'adhésion à l'Union européenne : 1996-2000. Les indices corrigés de leur biais montrent une régression de la productivité à un taux annuel de 4%. Les intervalles de confiance suggèrent qu'entre 66% et 80%, selon les années, des exploitations de l'échantillon (dont le nombre total est 250) n'ont peut-être pas vu leur productivité modifiée. Une analyse de cluster basée sur les bornes des intervalles de confiance révèle trois trajectoires principales. Les exploitations qui ont enregistré une augmentation de leur productivité, tout du moins lors la dernière année de la période étudiée, sont plutôt larges, intensives en capital, gérées par des exploitants jeunes, et bien intégrées dans les marchés des produits et des facteurs. Néanmoins, elles ne comptent que pour 19% des exploitations de l'échantillon. Il semble ainsi important pour la Pologne d'encourager le changement structurel, qui permettrait une croissance de la productivité.

Suggested Citation

  • Kelvin Balcombe & Sophia Davidova & Laure Latruffe, 2005. "Productivity change in Polish agriculture : an application of a bootstrap procedure to Malmquist indices," Post-Print hal-02285625, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02285625
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02285625
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Léopold Simar & Paul Wilson, 2000. "Statistical Inference in Nonparametric Frontier Models: The State of the Art," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 49-78, January.
    2. Dries, Liesbeth & Swinnen, Johan F. M., 2004. "Foreign Direct Investment, Vertical Integration, and Local Suppliers: Evidence from the Polish Dairy Sector," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1525-1544, September.
    3. Laure Latruffe & Kelvin Balcombe & Sophia Davidova & Katarzyna Zawalinska, 2004. "Determinants of technical efficiency of crop and livestock farms in Poland," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(12), pages 1255-1263.
    4. Tortosa-Ausina, Emili & Grifell-Tatje, Emili & Armero, Carmen & Conesa, David, 2008. "Sensitivity analysis of efficiency and Malmquist productivity indices: An application to Spanish savings banks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 184(3), pages 1062-1084, February.
    5. Bernhard Brümmer & Thomas Glauben & Geert Thijssen, 2002. "Decomposition of Productivity Growth Using Distance Functions: The Case of Dairy Farms in Three European Countries," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(3), pages 628-644.
    6. Sophia Davidova & Matthew Gorton & Tomas Ratinger & Katarzyna Zawalinska & Belen Iraizoz, 2005. "Farm Productivity and Profitability: A Comparative Analysis of Selected New and Existing EU Member States1," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 47(4), pages 652-674, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fekete-Farkas, Maria & Szucs, Istvan & Varga, Tibor, 2012. "Technological progress and efficiency change In Hungarian Agriculture," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126120, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Fogarasi, Jozsef & Latruffe, Laure, 2009. "Farm performance and support in Central and Western Europe: a comparison of Hungary and France," 83rd Annual Conference, March 30 - April 1, 2009, Dublin, Ireland 51053, Agricultural Economics Society.
    3. repec:ags:aolpei:262466 is not listed on IDEAS

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