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Productivity Change in Polish Agriculture: An Application of a Bootstrap Procedure to Malmquist Indices

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  • Balcombe, Kelvin George
  • Davidova, Sophia
  • Latruffe, Laure

Abstract

This paper employs bootstrapping to correct for bias and to construct confidence intervals for Malmquist TFP indices derived with DEA. It uses these results to investigate the productivity change in Polish agriculture during a crucial period of the country's transition to a market economy, 1996-2000, when Poland was preparing for accession to the European Union. The bias corrected estimates show regress in productivity at an annual rate of 4 percent. The confidence intervals suggest that between two-thirds and four-fifths of the sample farms (250) in different years might have experienced no change in productivity. The cluster analysis based on confidence bounds reveals three paths of productivity change. Farms which recorded an increase in productivity at least in the last year of the analysed period, are larger, more capital intensive, run by younger farmers, and more integrated in factor and product markets. However, they account for only 19 percent of the sample farms. The most important for Poland now is to unlock the forces that can drive ahead structural reform and thus productivity growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Balcombe, Kelvin George & Davidova, Sophia & Latruffe, Laure, 2005. "Productivity Change in Polish Agriculture: An Application of a Bootstrap Procedure to Malmquist Indices," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24572, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae05:24572
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.24572
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    9. Laure Latruffe & Kelvin Balcombe & Sophia Davidova & Katarzyna Zawalinska, 2005. "Technical and scale efficiency of crop and livestock farms in Poland : does specialization matte r?," Post-Print hal-02392195, HAL.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fogarasi, Jozsef & Latruffe, Laure, 2009. "Farm performance and support in Central and Western Europe: a comparison of Hungary and France," 83rd Annual Conference, March 30 - April 1, 2009, Dublin, Ireland 51053, Agricultural Economics Society.
    2. Jozsef Fogarasi & Laure Latruffe, 2007. "How did Hungarian crop farms perform before accession: a comparison of technical efficiency and technology with France," Post-Print hal-02285594, HAL.
    3. Kostlivý, V. & Fuksová, Z. & Dubec, J., 2017. "Farms Productivity Developments Based on Malmquist Production Indices," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 9(2), June.
    4. Jozsef Fogarasi & Laure Latruffe, 2007. "Technical efficiency and productivity change of dairy farms: a comparison of France and Hungary," Post-Print hal-02283468, HAL.
    5. Fekete-Farkas, Maria & Szucs, Istvan & Varga, Tibor, 2012. "Technological progress and efficiency change In Hungarian Agriculture," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126120, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Stefan Bojnec & Laure Latruffe, 2007. "Productivity change in Slovenian agriculture during the transition: a comparison of production branches," Post-Print hal-02283465, HAL.

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    Productivity Analysis;

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