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Brands in motion: how frictions shape multinational production

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  • Head, Keith
  • Mayer, Thierry

Abstract

Following the 2016 Leave vote in the referendum on UK membership in the EU and the election of Donald Trump, trade agreements have entered a period of great instability. To predict the impact of possible disruptions to existing arrangements requires counterfactual analysis that takes into account the complex set of factors influencing the production and marketing strategies of multinational corporations. We estimate a model of multinational decision making in the car industry. This model predicts the production reallocation and consumer surplus consequences of changes in tariffs and non-tariff barriers induced by NAFTA termination, Brexit, Trans-Pacific and Trans-Atlantic integration agreements.

Suggested Citation

  • Head, Keith & Mayer, Thierry, 2018. "Brands in motion: how frictions shape multinational production," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 88701, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:88701
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    Cited by:

    1. A. Kerem Cosar & Paul L. E. Grieco & Shengyu Li & Felix Tintelnot, 2015. "What Drives Home Market Advantage?," CESifo Working Paper Series 5544, CESifo Group Munich.
    2. Swati Dhingra & Gianmarco Ottaviano & Veronica Rappoport & Thomas Sampson & Catherine Thomas, 2018. "UK trade and FDI: A post‐Brexit perspective," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 97(1), pages 9-24, March.
    3. Head, Keith & Mayer, Thierry, 2019. "Misfits in the car industry: Offshore assembly decisions at the variety level," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 90-105.
    4. Stefania Garetto & Lindsay Oldenski & Natalia Ramondo, 2019. "Multinational Expansion in Time and Space," NBER Working Papers 25804, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Toshitaka Gokan & Sergey Kichko & Jacques-François Thisse, 2018. "How Do Trade and Communication Costs Shape the Spatial Organization Of Firms?," HSE Working papers WP BRP 191/EC/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    6. Davies, Ronald B. & Studnicka, Zuzanna, 2018. "The heterogeneous impact of Brexit: Early indications from the FTSE," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 1-17.
    7. Sampson, Thomas, 2017. "Brexit: the economics of international disintegration," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86591, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Coşar, A. Kerem & Grieco, Paul L.E. & Li, Shengyu & Tintelnot, Felix, 2018. "What drives home market advantage?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 135-150.
    9. Panle Jia Barwick & Shengmao Cao & Shanjun Li, 2017. "Local Protectionism, Market Structure, and Social Welfare: China's Automobile Market," NBER Working Papers 23678, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Thomas Sampson, 2017. "Brexit: The Economics of International Disintegration," CESifo Working Paper Series 6668, CESifo Group Munich.
    11. Naveen Rai & Lena Suchanek & Maria Bernier, 2018. "Does Outward Foreign Investment Matter for Canadian Productivity? Evidence from Greenfield Investments," Staff Working Papers 18-31, Bank of Canada.

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    Keywords

    trade agreements; Brexit; tariffs; non-tariff barriers;

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

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