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Japanese Economic Stagnation: Causes And Global Implications

  • Rod Tyers

    ()

Despite Japan’s prominence in global finance and trade through the 1980s its global role has appeared to diminish with its recent stagnation and the rise of China. This paper reviews the claimed sources of Japan’s stagnation, including productivity and labour slowdowns, monetary policy in the aftermath of the Plaza Accord and the surge in China’s growth. Their independent effects are quantified using a multi-region global dynamic model. The productivity slowdown emerges strongest though its exogeneity is questioned. The resulting losses are shown to have been severe for the Japanese but mild in other regions, disguised by the rise of China.

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File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/pdf/working-papers/2011/202011.pdf
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Paper provided by Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University in its series CAMA Working Papers with number 2011-20.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2011-20
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