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The Causes of Japan's "Lost Decade": The Role of Household Consumption

  • Charles Yuji Horioka

In this paper, I analyze the causes of the prolonged slowdown of the Japanese economy in the 1990s and find that the stagnation of investment, especially private fixed investment, was the primary culprit. I then investigate the causes of the stagnation of household consumption during the 1990s and find that the stagnation of household disposable income, the decline in household wealth, and increased uncertainty about the future are among the contributing factors. Finally, I consider whether demand side factors or supply side factors were more important as causes of the prolonged slowdown of the Japanese economy in the 1990s and conclude that the former (especially misguided government policies) were probably more important.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 12142.

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Date of creation: Apr 2006
Date of revision:
Publication status: published as Horioka, Charles Yuji, 2006. "The causes of Japan's `lost decade': The role of household consumption," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 378-400, December.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12142
Note: EFG PE
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