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Political Risk, Economic Integration, and the Foreign Direct Investment Decision

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  • Chen, Yu-Fu
  • Funke, Michael

Abstract

In this paper we analyse the impact of policy uncertainty on foreign direct investment strategies. We also consider the impact of economic integration upon FDI decisions. The paper follows the real options approach, which allows investigating the value to a firm of waiting to invest and/or disinvest, when payoffs are stochastic due to political uncertainty and investments are partially reversible. Across the board we find that political uncertainty can be very detrimental to FDI decisions while economic integration leads to an increasing benefit of investing abroad.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Yu-Fu & Funke, Michael, 2008. "Political Risk, Economic Integration, and the Foreign Direct Investment Decision," SIRE Discussion Papers 2008-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
  • Handle: RePEc:edn:sirdps:19
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10943/19
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Alessandro Fedele & Paolo M. Panteghini & Sergio Vergalli, 2011. "Optimal Investment and Financial Strategies under Tax‐Rate Uncertainty," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 12(4), pages 438-468, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political Risk; Real Options; Investment; Foreign Direct Investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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