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Euro area equity risk premia and monetary policy: a longer-term perspective

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  • Kapp, Daniel
  • Kristiansen, Kristian

Abstract

This study analyses the effects of euro area monetary policy on equity risk premia (ERP). We find that changes in equity prices during periods of accommodative monetary policy mainly reflected adjustments in the discount factor and economic activity – rather than fluctuations in investors’ required risk compensation. Furthermore, the ERP appears to not have declined much since the introduction of unconventional monetary policy and stands higher than prior to the GFC. Use of identified monetary policy shocks points to insignificant effects of monetary policy on the ERP. Further breakdown of these shocks reveals that monetary policy has a significant upwards impact on the ERP if it is perceived as a negative information surprise, while the opposite prevails in the case of a genuine accommodative monetary policy surprise. Accumulating these effects over time suggests that the two might have largely offset each other since the introduction of unconventional monetary policy. JEL Classification: E22, E52, G12

Suggested Citation

  • Kapp, Daniel & Kristiansen, Kristian, 2021. "Euro area equity risk premia and monetary policy: a longer-term perspective," Working Paper Series 2535, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212535
    Note: 1884807
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    Cited by:

    1. Bats, Joost & Greif, William & Kapp, Daniel, 2022. "The rise in the cross-sectoral dispersion of earnings expectations during COVID-19," Working Paper Series 2664, European Central Bank.
    2. Joost Bats & William Greif & Daniel Kapp, 2021. "The rise in the cross-sectoral dispersion of earnings expectations during COVID-19," Working Papers 724, DNB.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    equity risk premia; monetary policy shocks; monetary policy transmission;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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