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Global value chains: measurement, trends and drivers

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  • Cigna, Simone
  • Gunnella, Vanessa
  • Quaglietti, Lucia

Abstract

Global value chains (GVCs) have shaped the dynamics of globalisation in recent years. This paper reviews key concepts and tools to measure countries’ involvement in GVCs, explores recent trends and investigates the underlying drivers of GVC participation empirically. The analysis in the paper finds that in the last decade, GVCs have undergone an important transformation, with participation falling on the back of rising trade costs and the trade integration of some large emerging market economies slowing, while the role of recent technological developments remains unclear. In addition, supply chains appear to have become increasingly regional over time. The paper also offers an insight into the role of production chain linkages in the transmission of recent global shocks across countries, uncovering important amplification effects on trade and activity. Finally, it discusses future prospects for GVCs and global trade, including in the light of developments associated with the coronavirus pandemic. JEL Classification: F13, F14, F15, F23, F62

Suggested Citation

  • Cigna, Simone & Gunnella, Vanessa & Quaglietti, Lucia, 2022. "Global value chains: measurement, trends and drivers," Occasional Paper Series 289, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbops:2022289
    Note: 2700331
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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op289~95a0e7d24f.en.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bernardina Algieri & Antonio Aquino & Marianna Succurro, 2022. "Trade Specialisation and Changing Patterns of Comparative Advantages in Manufactured Goods," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 8(3), pages 607-667, November.
    2. L. Blázquez & C. Díaz-Mora & B. González-Díaz, 2023. "Slowbalisation or a “New” type of GVC participation? The role of digital services," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 50(1), pages 121-147, March.
    3. Ogbeide-Osaretin, Evelyn Nwamaka & Igbafe Aliu, Timothy, 2022. "Can A Deep Preferential Trade Agreement Boost Global Value Chain Participation In Sub-Saharan Africa?," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 9(1), pages 45-56, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; globalisation; global value chains; gravity equation; trade slowdown;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts

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