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Ownership networks and aggregate volatility

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  • Lorenzo Burlon

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

We study how aggregate volatility is influenced by the propagation of idiosyncratic shocks across firms through the network of ownership relations. To this purpose, we use detailed data on cross-holdings as well as relevant balance sheet information for almost the universe of Italian limited liability firms over the period 2005-2013. We first document that the ownership network matters for the correlation across firms' sales. Then, we construct a model where firms are linked through ownership relations and have limited access to credit markets. We characterize key features of the network structure that are relevant for the dynamics of the economy. A calibration to key features of the Italian economy shows that the model-implied volatility can account for a sizable percentage of actual GDP fluctuations. Moreover, we conduct a counterfactual exercise to isolate the role played by the network structure alone in the propagation of idiosyncratic shocks to the aggregate level.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorenzo Burlon, 2015. "Ownership networks and aggregate volatility," 2015 Meeting Papers 1157, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed015:1157
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    Cited by:

    1. Nicolò Gnocato & Concetta Rondinelli, 2018. "Granular sources of the Italian business cycle," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1190, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Brancaccio, Emiliano & Giammetti, Raffaele & Lopreite, Milena & Puliga, Michelangelo, 2018. "Centralization of capital and financial crisis: A global network analysis of corporate control," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 94-104.

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models

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