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Análisis de la Pobreza y Condiciones de Vida en Valledupar

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  • Andrea Otero-Cortés
  • Fernando Herrera
  • Juan Manuel Monroy

Abstract

En Valledupar la pobreza ha incrementado durante los últimos cuatro anos, pasando de 27% en 2014 a 33,4% para 2017. La distribución del ingreso también sufrió un revés importante durante el mismo periodo de tiempo, cuando el coeficiente de Gini pasó de 0,42 a 0,46, lo que indica que en 2017 hubo una mayor concentración de la riqueza que en 2014 (DANE, 2018). Este documento estudia los principales factores que han incidido en el aumento de la pobreza y propone una serie de inversiones para contrarrestar la desmejora en las condiciones de vida de los valduparences. Los resultados indican que el deterioro en el mercado laboral (empleo, salarios e informalidad) y la calidad de la educación son los factores que explican el incremento en pobreza. Las inversiones propuestas en temas de educación, vivienda y trabajo, que reducirían la pobreza y generarían un entorno propicio para el desarrollo económico de Valledupar, requieren de $230 millones de dólares para los próximos 10 anos, lo que implicaría un esfuerzo fiscal adicional por generar $22,8 millones de dólares adicionales anuales hasta 2030. **** ABSTRACT: Poverty rate increased six percentage points in the past four years in Valledupar (DANE, 2018). The income distribution deteriorated as well during the same period of time. This document studies the main factors that explain the rise in poverty in Valledupar during 2014-2017 and proposes a series of investments that will help the city to overcome this drawback in their economic and social development. The results show that the worsening in labor market conditions (wages, employment and informality rate) due to negative shocks in coal prices and low quality of education are the factors driving the poor performance of Valledupar in terms of poverty reduction. We propose a set of investments in education, labor policy and housing that cost $230 millions of dollars for the next 10 years, in order to create structural conditions for development and lower poverty.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrea Otero-Cortés & Fernando Herrera & Juan Manuel Monroy, 2019. "Análisis de la Pobreza y Condiciones de Vida en Valledupar," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 17206, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000102:017206
    DOI: 10.32468/dtseru.278
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    Cited by:

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    2. Jaime Bonet-Morón & Diana Ricciulli-Marín, 2019. "Planificación urbana en América Latina: el caso de Valledupar (Colombia)," Cuadernos de Historia Económica 17370, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pobreza; educación; mercado laboral; políticas públicas; Valledupar; Poverty; education; labor market; public policy; Valledupar;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • J46 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Informal Labor Market
    • R51 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Finance in Urban and Rural Economies

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