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Flujos de capital y política fiscal en las economías emergentes de América Latina

Author

Listed:
  • Ignacio Lozano
  • Ligia Alba Melo B.
  • Jorge Enrique Ramos F.

Abstract

En este documento se evalúa la respuesta de la política fiscal ante los choques de los flujos de capital registrados durante las dos últimas décadas en seis economías emergentes de América Latina: Argentina, Brasil, Chile, Colombia, México y Perú. Con base en la caracterización de los diferentes episodios de entradas y salidas súbitas de capital y en los resultados de un modelo de datos de panel con variables instrumentales, se concluye que no hubo respuestas directas de las autoridades fiscales frente a los choques de los flujos. Sin embargo, la evidencia también sugiere que para el conjunto de países, se presentó una reacción fiscal indirecta de naturaleza pro-cíclica, al impacto que los flujos de capital produjeron sobre la actividad económica. Este tipo de respuesta pudo cambiar a partir de la crisis financiera global de 2008, cuando varios gobiernos adoptaron posturas contra-cíclicas, por los mejores fundamentales macroeconómicos.

Suggested Citation

  • Ignacio Lozano & Ligia Alba Melo B. & Jorge Enrique Ramos F., 2012. "Flujos de capital y política fiscal en las economías emergentes de América Latina," Borradores de Economia 9439, Banco de la Republica.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:009439
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Rhenals Monterrosa, Remberto & Gómez, Wilman, 2013. "La coyuntura macroeconómica reciente," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 22, pages 9-38, July.
    2. Álvaro José Anaya Mendoza, 2012. "Inversión extranjera directa y crecimiento económico. Evidencia para América Latina 1980-2010," Revista de Economía del Caribe 10850, Universidad del Norte.
    3. Ramos-Forero, Jorge Enrique & Melo-Becerra, Ligia Alba & Zárate-Solano, Hector Manuel, 2015. "Mercado de bonos soberanos y estabilidad financiera : una aplicación de gráficos acíclicos direccionados (GAD) y modelos SVAR," Chapters, in: Gómez-González, José Eduardo & Ojeda-Joya, Jair N. (ed.), Política monetaria y estabilidad financiera en economías pequeñas y abiertas, chapter 14, pages 443-463, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Ligia Alba Melo B & Jorge Ramos F & Hector Zarate S, 2013. "Mercado de bonos soberanos y estabilidad financiera: Una aplicación de Gráficos Acíclicos Direccionados (GAD) y modelos SVAR," Borradores de Economia 11099, Banco de la Republica.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Flujos de Capitales; IED; Política Fiscal; Ciclos Económicos Reales.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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