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Fixed-Term Employment and Fertility: Evidence from German Micro Data

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  • Wolfgang Auer

    ()

  • Natalia Danzer

    ()

Abstract

We study the short- to medium-run effects of starting a career on a fixed-term contract on subsequent fertility outcomes. We focus on the career start since we expect that temporary contracts and their inherent economic uncertainty implies a path dependency which might have spill-over effects on other domains of life. Our empirical analysis is based on rich data from the German Socio-Economic Panel which provides comprehensive information about individuals’ labour market history as well as fertility behavior. Our main results are: Women (i) tend to postpone first birth due to fixed-term employment at labour market entry and (ii) reduce the number of children in the first 10 years after graduation. These associations are strongest in the subsample of native women with at least vocational training. (iii) In contrast, we find no significant correlations for men. We argue that these findings are robust to potential endogeneity threats.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Auer & Natalia Danzer, 2014. "Fixed-Term Employment and Fertility: Evidence from German Micro Data," ifo Working Paper Series 190, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifowps:_190
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wolfgang Auer & Natalia Danzer & Anita Fichtl, 2015. "Ökonomische Unsicherheit: Befristete Verträge erschweren Familiengründung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(18), pages 35-41, September.
    2. Michael Weber, 2016. "Wage Determination and Employment Adjustment in Croatia," CESifo Forum, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 17(1), pages 22-26, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Career start; fixed-term employment; postponement of maternity; fertility; economic uncertainty.;

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy
    • J41 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Labor Contracts

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