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European Integration and the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle

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  • Margarita Katsimi
  • Gylfi Zoega

Abstract

We estimate the Feldstein-Horioka equation for the period 1960-2012 and find structural breaks that coincide with the introduction of the European single market in 1993, the introduction of the euro in 1999 and the financial crisis in 2008. The results suggest that the correlation between investment and savings depends on institutions, exchange rate risk and credit risk. Furthermore, we find that the pattern of capital flows within the euro zone reflect differences in output per capita, the rate of growth of output per capita and budget balances.

Suggested Citation

  • Margarita Katsimi & Gylfi Zoega, 2015. "European Integration and the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," CESifo Working Paper Series 5180, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_5180
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    Cited by:

    1. Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021. "50 Years of Capital Mobility in the Eurozone: Breaking the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 867-905, November.
    2. Vasudeva N.R. Murthy & Natalya Ketenci, 2021. "The Feldstein–Horioka hypothesis for African countries: Evidence from recent panel error‐correction modelling," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5762-5774, October.
    3. Yersh, Valeryia, 2020. "Current account sustainability and capital mobility in Latin American and Caribbean countries," MPRA Paper 105440, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Phiri, Andrew, 2019. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from South Africa using Asymmetric Cointegration Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 72(2), pages 139-170.
    5. Soyoung Kim & Sunghyun Kim & Yoonseok Choi, 2018. "International capital mobility: regional versus global perspective," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 154(1), pages 157-176, February.
    6. Adian McFarlane & Young Cheol Jung & Anupam Das, 2020. "The dynamics among domestic saving, investment, and the current account balance in the USA: a long-run perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1659-1680, April.
    7. Makin, Anthony J. & Ratnasiri, Shyama, 2023. "New estimates of international capital mobility for select OECD economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 127-138.
    8. Onur ÖZDEMIR, 2022. "High-Income Countries and Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle: Econometric Evidence from Dynamic Common-Correlated Effects Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 45-67, April.
    9. Gylfi Zoega, 2023. "Current Account Imbalances after Bretton Woods," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(1), pages 27-37, March.
    10. Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2019. "A re-evaluation of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in the Eurozone," Journal of Risk & Control, Risk Market Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 19-35.
    11. Phiri, Andrew, 2017. "The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle and the global recession period: Evidence from South Africa using asymmetric cointegration analysis," MPRA Paper 79096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Ginama, Isamu & Hayakawa, Kazuhiko & Kanmei, Takahiro, 2018. "Examining the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle using common factor panels and interval estimation," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 11-21.
    13. Gylfi Zoega, 2016. "Responding to Capital Flows in a Very Small Economy," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 44(2), pages 159-170, June.
    14. Simeon Coleman & Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2023. "Has the current account broken up with its fundamentals in Central and Eastern Europe?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 962-980, January.
    15. Ibrahim Bakari Hassan, 2016. "International capital mobility in West Africa: A panel cointegration approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1256023-125, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Feldstein-Horioka puzzle; European integration;

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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