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Estimating the Effects of Coordinated Fiscal Actions in the Euro Area

Listed author(s):
  • Shafik Hebous
  • Tom Zimmermann

We estimate spillover effects of a fiscal shock in one member country in the euro area on outputs of the rest of the members, using a Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model. We compare the effects of a domestic fiscal shock with those of a similar size area-wide shock expressed as a weighted average of the fiscal shocks across all member countries. According to our estimates, the impact of an area-wide fiscal shock on output of a member country tends to be positive and larger than that of a domestic shock. Since the cost of participating in the area-wide shock is lower than the cost of a similar size domestic shock, our finding indicates the importance of coordinated fiscal actions in the euro area.

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File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/WP/WP-CESifo_Working_Papers/wp-cesifo-2012/wp-cesifo-2012-08/cesifo1_wp3912.pdf
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Paper provided by CESifo Group Munich in its series CESifo Working Paper Series with number 3912.

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Date of creation: 2012
Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_3912
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